VAS GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Voestalpine AG · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 46.20 EUR
2.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 6.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 46.20 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.7% latest completed week
4W Return 6.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 74-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 6.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7612-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.7% over four weeks, 3.2% over 12 weeks, and 72.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 74 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.7%
4W6.7%
12W3.2%
26W8.2%
52W72.3%
Active trend streak74 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change32.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.85Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength89/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth66/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework46/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
176.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
78.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

0 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-12.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses7
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202646.20 EUR2.7%43.29 EUR28.22 EUR-0.399.8516.4KOn
31 Jul 202644.98 EUR0.7%43.08 EUR28.10 EUR-0.5710.695.5KOn
24 Jul 202644.68 EUR-0.3%42.86 EUR27.98 EUR-0.6413.294.2KOn
17 Jul 202644.80 EUR3.5%42.61 EUR27.88 EUR-0.6515.885.1KOn
10 Jul 202643.28 EUR0.8%42.37 EUR27.77 EUR-0.5812.005.2KOn
3 Jul 202642.93 EUR4.4%42.22 EUR27.68 EUR-0.408.95349On
26 Jun 202641.10 EUR-4.3%42.05 EUR27.59 EUR-0.299.97207On
19 Jun 202642.93 EUR-6.2%41.92 EUR27.52 EUR-0.1214.41489On
12 Jun 202645.76 EUR-1.3%41.63 EUR27.43 EUR-0.1224.911.5KOn
5 Jun 202646.35 EUR-4.2%41.25 EUR27.32 EUR-0.2727.413.0KOn
29 May 202648.40 EUR5.2%40.78 EUR27.21 EUR-0.3132.888.9KOn
22 May 202646.02 EUR2.8%40.20 EUR27.08 EUR-0.4729.139.7KOn
15 May 202644.78 EUR-0.7%39.71 EUR26.96 EUR-0.5832.178.0KOn
8 May 202645.10 EUR2.7%39.26 EUR26.85 EUR-0.5232.5913.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context