ARRD GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ArcelorMittal S.A. · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 63.28 EUR
4.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 9.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 63.28 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.3% latest completed week
4W Return 9.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 21.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 67-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.5%. Indicator stack 100/64 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.28% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 9.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.5% over four weeks, 21.0% over 12 weeks, and 122.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 67 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.3%
4W9.5%
12W21.0%
26W24.2%
52W122.7%
Active trend streak67 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change101.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership31.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength64/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Value58/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Quality7/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Momentum95/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework4/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
7.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
0.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
137.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
5.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

3 positive · 12 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-13.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split36/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape76/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; 13 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.28%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.28% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors53/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 36; Small Cap Core rank 37 SVQF4/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 361.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

Is ArcelorMittal SA (MT) Overvalued After 4.7% Rally? GF Value S Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202663.28 EUR4.3%52.64 EUR30.42 EUR0.3231.9370.6KOn
31 Jul 202660.70 EUR3.2%51.87 EUR30.17 EUR0.1531.66115.7KOn
24 Jul 202658.82 EUR1.7%51.16 EUR29.93 EUR0.1232.0491.0KOn
17 Jul 202657.83 EUR0.0%50.47 EUR29.71 EUR0.0632.9050.3KOn
10 Jul 202657.81 EUR-0.8%49.81 EUR29.49 EUR0.1633.3453.1KOn
3 Jul 202658.28 EUR10.2%49.16 EUR29.27 EUR0.3532.3765.5KOn
26 Jun 202652.88 EUR-3.9%48.43 EUR29.04 EUR0.3227.109.9KOn
19 Jun 202655.00 EUR-9.2%47.90 EUR28.85 EUR0.4032.1023.5KOn
12 Jun 202660.56 EUR2.1%47.20 EUR28.65 EUR0.3349.4261.4KOn
5 Jun 202659.34 EUR-0.1%46.32 EUR28.42 EUR-0.0248.0425.4KOn
29 May 202659.42 EUR4.8%45.45 EUR28.19 EUR-0.1648.52125.3KOn
22 May 202656.68 EUR8.4%44.56 EUR27.96 EUR-0.3445.12150.8KOn
15 May 202652.28 EUR0.0%43.78 EUR27.75 EUR-0.4541.13136.0KOn
8 May 202652.27 EUR6.5%43.12 EUR27.56 EUR-0.3840.69199.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context