USD/JPY

Currencies Foreign Exchange

Latest week
3 Jul 2026
Close
161.337006
Fair value
151.149859
Next-week expectancy
Positive 58.12%
Weekly Close Trend Line Fair Value Activity Lines

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Chart Summary

Key Points

Week Ending
3 Jul 2026
Latest Close
161.34
12-Week Change
1.35%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.12%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
2.06
Market Dynamics
0.36

Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-07-03, USD/JPY rose 1.35%, moving from 159.20 to 161.34. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 2.06 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.36 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.12% based on similar historical setup states.

Next-week expectancy

Next-week expectancy is a short-term historical read. It compares the latest completed-week setup with broadly similar past setups and asks whether the following week tended to close higher or lower.

It is not a trend call, a price target, or a guarantee. A positive read can appear while price is below trend or activity pressure is weak, because it is measuring short-term follow-through odds for the current setup state.

Use it as one context layer beside Trend Line, Relative Strength, Market Dynamics, Fair Value, and the visible price structure.