Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.
Equity · completed-week adaptive desk
2881 Technicals
Fubon Financial Holding Co., Ltd.
Price-technical state
Aligned upward
Price structure only · 260 completed observations · through 2026-08-14
Price structureAligned upwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum71.3Stretched positive
Risk pressure5.6%Elevated
Trend quality41.9Directional
Technicals / Market Dynamics agreement
Evidence conflictPrice is ahead of Market Dynamics
Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.
Current take
The gap can close through stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price. Until then, the upward structure should be treated as vulnerable rather than fully aligned.
Market Dynamics
Price, Market Dynamics and positioning zones
Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.
Latest 0.60
Price ahead of Market Dynamics
Price ahead of Market Dynamics
Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.
Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.
Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks and now lags the elevated price.
Weekly close
Supportive Market Dynamics
Cautious Market Dynamics
Accumulation zone
Distribution zone
Positioning recovery
Distribution rollover
Price / pressure gap
This ticker's completed record
How price has behaved around Market Dynamics
Distinct zone visits are measured once, then followed through completed weekly closes. Open episodes are kept separate from completed outcomes.
Market Dynamics is weakening while price remains elevated
This is a warning, not a completed reversal. Price can remain elevated while the gap is open.
- Where it is now
- Easier this weekMarket Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.
- Four-week context
- Weakened over four weeksUnderlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.
- Price response
- Price remains elevated relative to supportPrice is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.
- Historical context
- 47.1% moved lower after 12 weeks across 17 casesAverage later move: 1.9%
- Same-week correlation
- 0.34
- Direction agreed
- 46.0%
- Completed comparisons
- 252
After accumulation1 distinct visit
4 weeks0.0% higher1 outcome
12 weeks0.0% higher1 outcome
26 weeks100.0% higher1 outcome
Average time before leaving the zone: 43.0 weeks.
After distribution1 distinct visit
4 weeks100.0% lower1 outcome
12 weeksRecord building0 outcomes
26 weeksRecord building0 outcomes
Average time before leaving the zone: -.
Broad direction and divergence
What followed from the broader directional relationship
These cases compare broad price direction with the Market Dynamics level. The current read above also tests whether Market Dynamics strength is keeping pace with price.
Average 12-week move: 6.5% from 22 completed cases.
Average 12-week move: 1.4% from 16 completed cases.
47.1% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 5.7 weeks on average.
84.2% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 8.9 weeks on average.
Practical application
Strategy observations from this ticker's own record
The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.
Short-term improvement has not closed the structural gap
The exact gap record is still building. In the broader price-ahead divergence record, 47.1% of cases were lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.9% across 17 cases.
ApproachTreat the latest strengthening as an improvement in the immediate reading, not as full confirmation of price. The structural warning remains until Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects toward the underlying evidence.
Review the case whenThe warning resolves when Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects enough to close the gap.
Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.
Adaptive evidence set
The charts that matter to this tape now
This is not a fixed indicator wall. The price anchor is retained for context; the remaining panels are selected dynamically according to the conditions visible in this ticker.
104 observations displayed
6 views selected
6 views selected
Price structureAligned upwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum71.3Stretched positive
Risk pressure5.6%Elevated
Trend quality41.9Directional
Range position88%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape
Price architecture
Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope
Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.
Why this view is active
Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.
Participation
Activity pressure and cumulative balance
Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.
Why this view is active
Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.
Price impulse
Acceleration, deceleration and rollover
The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.
Why this view is active
Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of direction.
Trend quality
Directional strength and control
Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.
Why this view is active
Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.
Risk geometry
Range pressure and compression
Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.
Why this view is active
Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.
Acceptance map
Range position and boundary pressure
Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.
Why this view is active
Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.
Sharemaestro tape intelligence
What the gauges support now
One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.
100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
observed participation included
Joint upward confirmation
The gauges support the upward market view
Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.
Joint upward confirmation
Buyer control supports the view
Upward commitment
Upward follow-through
Strong support
SM consensus path · Market Dynamics display window
SM Consensus Gauge against price
The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.
Latest +45.3
Joint upward confirmation
Joint upward confirmation
Supportive consensus
Cautious consensus
Weekly close
Neutral
Control
SM Control Gauge
Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.
Current controlBuyer control supports the viewRecent pathControl support is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced
Commitment
SM Force Gauge
Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.
Current forceUpward commitmentRecent pathCommitment is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity
Direction and follow-through
SM Direction Gauge
Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.
Current directionUpward follow-throughFollow-throughEstablishedLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through
Assessment strength
SM Confirmation Gauge
Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.
ConfirmationStrong supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk
These charts describe completed market observations and can lag or reverse. The SM gauges provide one confirmation layer; differences in the underlying evidence reduce confirmation rather than create another competing view. Market Dynamics is proprietary Sharemaestro output: this page presents only its published values and plain-language context. Its construction and inputs remain private.