- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.50% based on similar historical setup states.
PAAS
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Pan American Silver Corp. · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
71.45 CAD
18.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.4%, after a 15.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
51
out of 100
Latest Close
71.45 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
18.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
18.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.5%.
Indicator stack
44/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 61.50%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
38 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.4%, after a 15.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3212-week average 0.44
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.5% over four weeks, -7.6% over 12 weeks, and 64.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.96Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change74.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value21/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 23.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 7.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 44.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 37.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 32.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 16.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 28.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 651.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 154.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.
15 positive · 20 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-16.4%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+18.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses10
Recent vol8.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank47 / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Gold
4-week rank32 / 66
Group average14.3%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD7.6%positive activity pressure
RS37.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.50%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.50% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors61/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 38; Small Cap Core rank 84 SVQF54/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 140.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.
Do Shifting Earnings Estimates Change the Risk‑Reward Story for Pan American Silver (TSX:PAAS)? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 71.45 CAD | 18.4% | 73.68 CAD | 40.37 CAD | -0.96 | -3.28 | 4.6M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 60.36 CAD | -2.8% | 73.80 CAD | 40.04 CAD | -1.25 | -15.29 | 4.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 62.09 CAD | 6.1% | 74.11 CAD | 39.78 CAD | -1.27 | -12.92 | 5.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 58.54 CAD | -5.3% | 74.48 CAD | 39.50 CAD | -1.28 | -17.40 | 3.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 61.84 CAD | -9.0% | 74.88 CAD | 39.26 CAD | -1.25 | -12.63 | 4.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 67.92 CAD | 5.4% | 75.09 CAD | 38.99 CAD | -1.30 | -3.66 | 265.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 64.47 CAD | -6.6% | 74.86 CAD | 38.67 CAD | -1.38 | -7.42 | 812.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 69.02 CAD | 2.4% | 74.81 CAD | 38.38 CAD | -1.22 | -0.43 | 1.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 67.40 CAD | 1.8% | 74.22 CAD | 38.05 CAD | -1.16 | -2.20 | 1.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 66.24 CAD | -15.9% | 73.75 CAD | 37.74 CAD | -0.89 | -1.97 | 1.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 78.73 CAD | 5.7% | 73.16 CAD | 37.44 CAD | -0.54 | 15.84 | 5.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 74.47 CAD | -3.7% | 72.16 CAD | 37.06 CAD | -0.66 | 11.62 | 2.9M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 77.36 CAD | -4.1% | 71.36 CAD | 36.70 CAD | -0.66 | 19.20 | 5.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 80.67 CAD | 15.0% | 70.56 CAD | 36.34 CAD | -0.73 | 24.77 | 6.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.