- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
C1BL34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Chubb Limited · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
Latest close
78.32 BRL
5.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
60
out of 100
Latest Close
78.32 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
5.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
15.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.75% based on similar historical setup states.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%.
Indicator stack
48/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.75%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
60/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.0%, after a 6.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7712-week average 0.51
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 15.1% over 12 weeks, and 30.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change53.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1210.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment60/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
2 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.9%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+5.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Financial Services
4-week rank19 / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Insurance - Property & Casualty
4-week rank3 / 6
Group average3.5%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape58/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis54/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.77; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.75%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.75% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment60/100Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
Berkshire Hathaway Stock Nears Record. Wall Street Liked Its Earnings Report. Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 78.32 BRL | 5.0% | 70.55 BRL | 61.01 BRL | 1.01 | 11.06 | 1.7K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 74.58 BRL | -1.9% | 70.24 BRL | 60.77 BRL | 0.98 | 2.55 | 3.8K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 76.00 BRL | 1.7% | 70.08 BRL | 60.54 BRL | 1.14 | 6.68 | 2.9K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 74.73 BRL | 1.5% | 69.94 BRL | 60.31 BRL | 0.98 | 4.97 | 2.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 73.65 BRL | -5.8% | 69.83 BRL | 60.07 BRL | 0.66 | 0.84 | 2.2K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 78.17 BRL | 8.9% | 69.67 BRL | 59.84 BRL | 0.30 | 8.98 | 6.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 71.75 BRL | 2.9% | 69.25 BRL | 59.58 BRL | -0.23 | 0.59 | 954 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 69.72 BRL | 1.1% | 69.04 BRL | 59.35 BRL | -0.65 | 0.23 | 42 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 68.93 BRL | -1.1% | 68.95 BRL | 59.14 BRL | -0.76 | -2.63 | 222 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 69.69 BRL | 6.4% | 68.81 BRL | 58.94 BRL | -0.79 | -0.67 | 678 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 65.52 BRL | -4.7% | 68.57 BRL | 58.73 BRL | -0.87 | -9.53 | 1.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 68.76 BRL | 1.1% | 68.45 BRL | 58.55 BRL | -0.72 | -6.92 | 618 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 68.03 BRL | 4.4% | 68.25 BRL | 58.36 BRL | -0.69 | -8.87 | 8.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 65.19 BRL | -5.2% | 67.98 BRL | 58.17 BRL | -0.79 | -16.32 | 1.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.