- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
OPEN
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Opendoor Technologies Inc · Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Latest close
3.77 USD
-1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a -23.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.
Setup score
16
out of 100
Latest Close
3.77 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-23.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-24.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 37.71% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -23.1%.
Indicator stack
28/19
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 37.71%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
50/100 conviction; expected move 5.1%.
News sentiment
48/100
66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
3d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a -23.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.08
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -23.1% over four weeks, -24.8% over 12 weeks, and 85.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-301.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-39.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-77.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 81%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength79/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Value77/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 37.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 7.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -32.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 27.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -642.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -23.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -38.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -38.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
OPEN shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 5.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction50/100
Expected move5.1%
Put/call volume0.17
Insider activity7 / 4
7 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment48/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.
9 positive · 45 neutral · 12 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-14.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew18.8% / -7.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Real Estate
4-week rank99 / 100
Group average-0.5%
Trend breadth67.0%
Trend67.0%active weekly trend signals
MD79.0%positive activity pressure
RS48.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Real Estate Services
4-week rank34 / 42
Group average-10.6%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS14.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape19/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 19/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.71%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.71% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 95; Small Cap Core rank 65 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options35/100OPEN shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 5.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 5.1% Sentiment48/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.
Can Opendoor Escape Penny-Stock Limbo? 5 Companies That Could Make the Deal Insiders7 / 47 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow3 items0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.77 USD | -1.7% | 4.94 USD | 3.26 USD | -0.36 | -39.38 | 165.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.83 USD | -14.8% | 5.02 USD | 3.25 USD | 0.29 | -37.76 | 378.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.50 USD | -5.6% | 5.09 USD | 3.26 USD | 0.60 | -27.94 | 526.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.76 USD | -2.8% | 5.15 USD | 3.26 USD | 0.42 | -26.46 | 462.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.90 USD | 12.1% | 5.21 USD | 3.25 USD | 0.18 | -22.14 | 348.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.37 USD | -2.2% | 5.29 USD | 3.25 USD | -0.08 | -29.07 | 304.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.47 USD | 0.7% | 5.40 USD | 3.24 USD | -0.05 | -29.90 | 187.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.44 USD | 0.5% | 5.47 USD | 3.23 USD | -0.06 | -27.70 | 178.9M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.42 USD | -12.3% | 5.59 USD | 3.22 USD | -0.04 | -25.50 | 212.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.04 USD | 11.3% | 5.65 USD | 3.21 USD | 0.07 | -17.94 | 178.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.53 USD | 3.4% | 5.74 USD | 3.19 USD | 0.03 | -23.11 | 154.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.38 USD | -12.6% | 5.84 USD | 3.18 USD | 0.08 | -23.86 | 175.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.01 USD | -7.9% | 5.93 USD | 3.16 USD | -0.09 | -12.21 | 190.4M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 5.44 USD | -1.3% | 6.00 USD | 3.14 USD | -0.51 | 1.97 | 175.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.