- The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
AUBN
NASDAQ
Week ended 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Auburn National Bancorporation Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
26.54 USD
1.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 2.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 36d.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
26.54 USD
11 Sep 2026
1W Return
1.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
55.8%
29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.1%.
Indicator stack
69/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
36d
Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 2.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7212-week average 0.62
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.1% over four weeks, 4.5% over 12 weeks, and 7.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-129.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.11Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change55.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 97%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality76/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 13.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 91.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 28.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 28.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -14.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 26.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 17.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity16 / 0
16 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings36dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
11 Sep
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-10.6%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+1.0%Week of 11 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-1.1%
Trend breadth83.0%
Trend83.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS47.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Banks - Regional
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.0%
Trend breadth81.0%
Trend81.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis60/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.72; 2 reversal markers Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 19 SVQF85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 115.0 of 747 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Auburn National Bancorporation: Why I Will Initiate A Long Position (NASDAQ:AUBN) Insiders16 / 016 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings36dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 26.54 USD | 1.0% | 24.98 USD | 21.30 USD | -0.11 | -4.11 | 3.5K | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 26.28 USD | 0.8% | 24.91 USD | 21.25 USD | -0.00 | -5.84 | 13.7K | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 26.06 USD | -2.2% | 24.84 USD | 21.21 USD | 0.04 | -6.68 | 3.9K | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 26.65 USD | 2.6% | 24.78 USD | 21.16 USD | 0.24 | -4.48 | 4.4K | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 25.99 USD | -0.4% | 24.75 USD | 21.11 USD | 0.36 | -9.28 | 2.8K | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.09 USD | -0.2% | 24.67 USD | 21.07 USD | 0.53 | -8.27 | 7.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 26.15 USD | -1.8% | 24.65 USD | 21.03 USD | 0.73 | -3.79 | 11.5K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26.62 USD | 0.1% | 24.63 USD | 20.98 USD | 0.84 | -1.82 | 6.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 26.60 USD | -1.5% | 24.62 USD | 20.93 USD | 0.97 | -3.89 | 6.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 27.01 USD | -2.2% | 24.65 USD | 20.88 USD | 0.99 | -6.94 | 11.9K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 27.63 USD | -4.3% | 24.56 USD | 20.83 USD | 0.89 | -3.35 | 6.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 28.88 USD | 13.7% | 24.44 USD | 20.77 USD | 0.81 | 1.84 | 18.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 25.40 USD | 2.4% | 24.26 USD | 20.70 USD | 0.67 | -14.61 | 6.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 24.80 USD | -0.1% | 24.22 USD | 20.65 USD | 0.54 | -14.70 | 13.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.