3807 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Fisco Ltd. · Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 85.00 JPY
2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -5.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 44/100.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 85.00 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.4% latest completed week
4W Return -5.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.6%. Indicator stack 4/42 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 37.40% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 44/100 2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -5.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0112-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.6% over four weeks, -11.5% over 12 weeks, and -40.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.4%
4W-5.6%
12W-11.5%
26W-27.4%
52W-40.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change49.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-42.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-59.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryJP Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

8697 · JPX4.0%3807 · JPX-5.6%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape20/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.40%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.40% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

Fisco Ltd. Revenue Breakdown – TSE:3807 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202685.00 JPY2.4%103.8 JPY116.4 JPY-0.69-42.20682.5KOff
31 Jul 202683.00 JPY-2.4%105.1 JPY116.6 JPY-0.76-43.48588.3KOff
24 Jul 202685.00 JPY2.4%106.2 JPY116.8 JPY-0.93-43.43647.7KOff
17 Jul 202683.00 JPY-7.8%107.2 JPY117.0 JPY-1.16-45.261.1MOff
10 Jul 202690.00 JPY2.3%108.3 JPY117.2 JPY-1.36-45.43754.6KOff
3 Jul 202688.00 JPY7.3%109.4 JPY117.4 JPY-1.63-48.60161.9KOff
26 Jun 202682.00 JPY-5.7%111.0 JPY117.6 JPY-1.62-52.6881.0KOff
19 Jun 202687.00 JPY-5.4%113.1 JPY117.8 JPY-1.50-52.0948.0KOff
12 Jun 202692.00 JPY-4.2%114.8 JPY118.0 JPY-1.39-46.5786.2KOff
5 Jun 202696.00 JPY-3.0%116.4 JPY118.2 JPY-1.33-45.96193.3KOff
29 May 202699.00 JPY-1.0%117.6 JPY118.4 JPY-1.25-45.18906.7KOff
22 May 2026100.0 JPY4.2%118.8 JPY118.5 JPY-1.27-43.22885.2KOff
15 May 202696.00 JPY-10.3%120.0 JPY118.6 JPY-1.28-44.78810.1KOff
8 May 2026107.0 JPY-0.9%121.1 JPY118.8 JPY-1.20-40.53168.2KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context