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Weekly closes ยท EUR
Market context
Stage
4 ยท Stage 4C ยท Repair watch, as of 11 Sep 2026
Sentiment
โ
RS
-17.97
Dynamics
0.87
Fair value gap
-19.3%
Week range
15.49โ15.90
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
MIL ยท ETF ยท Italy
HITC
HSBC S&P India Tech UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)
Last updated
11 Sep 2026
Exchange
Borsa Italiana ยท MIL
Sector
Not classified
Industry
Not classified
Currency
EUR
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
19.26
Next-week expectancy
Negative ยท 42.63%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, HITC rose 1.82%, moving from 15.27 to 15.54. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 2 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -17.97 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.87 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.63% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
15.54
12-Week Change
1.82%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.63%
Signal Weeks
2 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Price remains unsettled
Price and PSI remain weak or inconsistent. An improvement in the bars would be the first sign of recovery.
PSI score
40/100
1 completed week
Recent support
-5
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
75%
Activity is weighing on price
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together36/100
Moving together ยท more together
Ticker and market
Weakness is mainly in this ticker
PSI is weak, but the wider market is not showing the same degree of pressure.
PSI
-20.0
Market togetherness
36/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Current contextTicker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
+0.87
Four-week change
+0.08
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Price is below the adaptive centre
The completed weekly close is on the lower side of the envelope. A centre recovery and improving confirmation would be the first signs of repair.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Support is improving beneath lower-envelope price
Price remains on the lower side of APE, but Market Dynamics is constructive. This is an early repair condition rather than confirmation until price responds.
Current reading
+0.87
Four-week change
+0.08
Current path
Broadly steady
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathCautious29% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineMixedNot fully aligned
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsSupportive+0.87 ยท +0.08 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthMixed-18.0 ยท +0.2 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationMixed0.89ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Below the adaptive centre
The latest close sits at 29% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 1 completed week.
Envelope width
Envelope width is compressed
Current width ranks at the 9th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Partial confirmation
50% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (16.22), upper boundary (16.78) and lower boundary (15.03).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context ยท Unstable
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 15.48 ยท Resistance 19.71
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-3.51%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 13% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history9% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-36.9%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+5.9%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.1ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
1 week ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
5 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
17 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
33 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
43 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
20.6%
Low to high
Accepted price
15.15
Latest versus accepted: 2.57%
Fitted direction
Falling
-0.54% per week
Range pressure
53/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.92ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support15.15
From price
-2.5%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
5
Support15.47
From price
-0.5%
Evidence
71/100
Touches
3
Resistance15.85
From price
2.0%
Evidence
44/100
Touches
1
Resistance18.92
From price
21.8%
Evidence
93/100
Touches
4
Resistance19.12
From price
23.0%
Evidence
57/100
Touches
1
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 20.6% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -0.54% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 53/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level15.85
Resistance is 2.0% from the latest close with 44/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.34 ยท Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 2 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathSoft ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
90 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
94 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Market Dynamics is improving ahead of price
Price is +1.8% across this view and is in the lower part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is 0.87 after a +0.08 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. Support is improving before price has provided the same confirmation.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-26Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
Returned to accumulation; awaiting confirmation
Price has spent 1 completed week back inside the current accumulation zone. Two light-zone closes or one dark-zone close invalidates this transition.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution ยท Source-zone return
Activated
2026-07-31
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. HITC's attempted move from accumulation toward distribution has returned to its original accumulation area for 1 completed week. The transition is therefore at risk, but is not treated as failed until that return is confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Source-zone return 1 week
Accumulation to Distribution ยท 6 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 1%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 2%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 95%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks1%
52 weeks2%
Accumulation zone
16.02 / deep 14.81
Current close
15.54
Distribution zone
23.28 / deep 24.50
Source-zone dwell
14 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 0.87Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 0.57Change in underlying supportTrend position 0%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.14รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 131 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2025-01-17โ2026-03-06 ยท 60 completed weeks ยท price move -32.7%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 0 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2025-01-17โ2026-03-06 ยท journey 60w ยท source dwell 8w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-32.7%
Time to confirm
60w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 60 completed weeks. Price moved -32.7% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure remains established and weakening
Price is holding a weak market-perception position. Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
-19.31% ยท Negative ยท Weakening
Market positionNegative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position.
Pressure directionWeakening
Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityMixed
Recent pressure is moving unevenly and needs further confirmation.
Risks and warningsWeakness remains active
Negative pressure is established and has not yet begun to repair.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
Negative pressure is established and has not yet begun to repair.
What to watch next
The latest path is weakening with mixed trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 16% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 84% of completed observations.
State persistence82 completed weeks
The current negative state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 42 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 43% of the time; the typical move was -0.9%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
9 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
13 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
16 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
22 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
33 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
38 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is above the core VWAP, which is falling. 90% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
46/100 pressure
ControlControl is contested
Pressure 46/100 and -5.2 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack2 of 6 below price
3 references converge near 15.99: Year VWAP, 13-week VWAP, Swing low.
Acceptance90% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction-0.2% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +1.1 pts.
Stretch1.0 normal ranges above
Price is +2.0% from the core VWAP.
Persistence7 completed weeks
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
131 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control is contested
Control is contested
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
3 references converge near 15.99: Year VWAP, 13-week VWAP, Swing low.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation15.98
A completed close above Year VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area15.35
High-activity anchor at 15.35, 1.3% below the latest close.
Weakening level15.35
A completed close below High-activity anchor with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
High-activity anchor15.35
-1.27% from close
26-week VWAP15.24
-1.95% from close
Year VWAP15.98
+2.81% from close
13-week VWAP15.98
+2.84% from close
Swing low16.01
+3.02% from close
52-week VWAP16.80
+8.05% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 39%Above price 61%
8%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท FTSEMIB.MIWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -33.3 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 79/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim0% favourable
Events
3
Median 4w
+1.21%
Median 13w
-4.95%
Typical best
+3.69%
Typical worst
-4.95%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss75% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
+0.28%
Median 13w
-11.37%
Typical best
+3.00%
Typical worst
-11.56%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states7 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
43%
Median 4w
-0.40%
Positive after 13w
0%
Median 13w
-14.28%
Best / worst 13w
-5.0% / -20.3%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.28 ยท Fragile
Current stateFragile ยท 0.28
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
9 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.28 ยท Fragile
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Historical context is still developing
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a responsible outcome summary.
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
15.54
12-Week Change
1.82%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.63%
Signal Weeks
2 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-17.97
Market Dynamics
0.87
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, HITC rose 1.82%, moving from 15.27 to 15.54. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 2 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -17.97 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.87 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.63% based on similar historical setup states.
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