- The trend backdrop is active with a 39-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
8725
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
Latest close
4,850 JPY
-1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive trend
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a 9.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
75
out of 100
Latest Close
4,850 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
9.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
10.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
98.1%
51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 9.5%.
Indicator stack
99/89
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.12%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a 9.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8612-week average 0.82
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.86Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 9.5% over four weeks, 10.5% over 12 weeks, and 50.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 39 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak39 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.20Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change220.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change153.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Financial Services
4-week rank17 / 100
Group average4.5%
Trend breadth80.0%
Trend80.0%active weekly trend signals
MD87.0%positive activity pressure
RS74.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Insurance - Property & Casualty
4-week rank1 / 4
Group average5.4%
Trend breadth75.0%
Trend75.0%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS75.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape76/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis65/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.86; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.12%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.12% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Heritage Insurance (HRTG) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4,850 JPY | -1.5% | 4,245 JPY | 3,063 JPY | 1.20 | 4.68 | 19.0M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,924 JPY | 0.5% | 4,209 JPY | 3,042 JPY | 1.04 | 8.24 | 23.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,898 JPY | 9.3% | 4,165 JPY | 3,020 JPY | 0.70 | 7.25 | 21.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,483 JPY | 1.2% | 4,120 JPY | 2,998 JPY | 0.33 | -1.07 | 20.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,428 JPY | -0.6% | 4,093 JPY | 2,979 JPY | 0.37 | -8.71 | 23.8M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,454 JPY | 5.0% | 4,067 JPY | 2,960 JPY | 0.42 | -10.00 | 5.2M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,241 JPY | -6.8% | 4,034 JPY | 2,941 JPY | 0.28 | -14.10 | 6.2M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,551 JPY | -1.0% | 4,006 JPY | 2,924 JPY | 0.38 | -10.63 | 5.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,597 JPY | 6.3% | 3,966 JPY | 2,904 JPY | 0.22 | -2.97 | 5.5M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,325 JPY | 0.9% | 3,922 JPY | 2,885 JPY | 0.13 | -9.79 | 2.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,287 JPY | 1.0% | 3,883 JPY | 2,867 JPY | 0.00 | -10.77 | 36.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,245 JPY | -3.3% | 3,844 JPY | 2,848 JPY | -0.28 | -8.03 | 25.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,391 JPY | 10.4% | 3,809 JPY | 2,830 JPY | -0.56 | -2.30 | 22.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,978 JPY | -0.5% | 3,769 JPY | 2,811 JPY | -0.82 | -13.65 | 9.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.