SBR ASX Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Sabre Resources Limited ยท Basic Materials ยท Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Latest close 0.007 AUD
16.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.7%, after a 16.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 0.007 AUD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return 16.7% latest completed week
4W Return 16.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 23.43% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.7%, after a 16.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is 16.7% over four weeks, 0.0% over 12 weeks, and -46.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W16.7%
4W16.7%
12W0.0%
26W-30.0%
52W-46.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change365.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change32.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024 Field coverage 73% Model confidence 22%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum29/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
258.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-66.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
100.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-7429.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-12170.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-48.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-48.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive ยท 2 neutral ยท 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher5 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.7%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-18.2%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+16.7%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains0
Flat weeks14
Modest losses0
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split12/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew12.9% / -12.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 20260.007 AUD16.7%0.007567 AUD0.0138 AUD0.11-27.16550.1KOff
2 Oct 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.0077 AUD0.014 AUD-0.00-38.02299.1KOff
25 Sep 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.0079 AUD0.0142 AUD-0.05-38.582.3MOff
18 Sep 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.0081 AUD0.0144 AUD-0.09-39.743.1MOff
11 Sep 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.0084 AUD0.0146 AUD-0.04-40.4913.8MOff
4 Sep 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.008667 AUD0.0149 AUD-0.31-42.871.2MOff
28 Aug 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.008867 AUD0.0152 AUD-0.39-44.0587.3KOff
21 Aug 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.009167 AUD0.0154 AUD-0.35-44.36968.1KOff
14 Aug 20260.006 AUD0.0%0.009467 AUD0.0157 AUD-0.57-45.20293.0KOff
7 Aug 20260.006 AUD-14.3%0.009667 AUD0.0159 AUD-0.69-46.57734.8KOff
31 Jul 20260.007 AUD16.7%0.009833 AUD0.0161 AUD-0.83-36.165.8MOff
24 Jul 20260.006 AUD-14.3%0.01 AUD0.0163 AUD-1.14-44.4418.9KOff
17 Jul 20260.007 AUD0.0%0.0102 AUD0.0165 AUD-1.10-35.830Off
10 Jul 20260.007 AUD0.0%0.0103 AUD0.0167 AUD-1.21-36.12798.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context