Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
EBS · ETF · Switzerland
JPNJPA
UBS Core MSCI Japan UCITS ETF JPY dis
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
SIX Swiss Exchange · EBS
Sector
Not classified
Industry
Not classified
Currency
CHF
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
113.09
Next-week expectancy
Positive · 56.80%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, JPNJPA rose 3.26%, moving from 60.98 to 62.97. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -77.61 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.11 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.80% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
62.97
12-Week Change
3.26%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.80%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context · Unstable
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 62.39 · Resistance 62.98
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-4.50%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedLower part of the range
The close finished at 28% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history0% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-99.4%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+96.9%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.9× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
1 week ago
Price Action signal
A completed Price Action confirmation was published.
13 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
21 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
42 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
0.1%
Low to high
Accepted price
163.24
Latest versus accepted: -61.42%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.41% per week
Range pressure
65/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.13× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Current pivot52.39
From price
-16.8%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
22
Resistance411.81
From price
554.0%
Evidence
39/100
Touches
1
Resistance6253.23
From price
9830.5%
Evidence
40/100
Touches
2
Resistance6750.37
From price
10620.0%
Evidence
40/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 0.1% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.41% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 65/100; 50 is balanced.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.36 · Holding steady
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 14 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathSoft · Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalAccumulation
The latest accumulation marker was 5 completed weeks ago.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A weakening momentum path or a new reversal marker would reduce the quality of the current setup.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Smart Money signal
Positive signal recorded on the completed-week chart.
6 weeks ago
Accumulation
Underlying support was identified as building.
13 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
42 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
43 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readHistorically weak pressure has begun to recover
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
-44.32% · Historically weak · Recovering
Market positionHistorically weak
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionRecovering
Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsRecovery watch
Deep weakness is repairing, but confirmation is not yet established.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Negative pressure is receding, which keeps a repair path open.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
Deep weakness is repairing, but confirmation is not yet established.
What to watch next
The latest path is recovering with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 11% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 89% of completed observations.
State persistence43 completed weeks
The current historically weak state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 62 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 60% of the time; the typical move was +1.7%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
2 weeks ago
Price Action signal
A completed Price Action signal was published from a weak market-perception position.
13 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
15 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
19 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
32 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
35 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyer control developing
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 100% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
65/100 pressure
ControlBuyer control developing
Pressure 65/100 and -3.5 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack5 of 6 below price
3 references converge near 56.42: 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP.
Acceptance100% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.2% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +0.7 pts.
Stretch3.5 normal ranges above
Price is +11.6% from the core VWAP.
Persistence18 completed weeks
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks · Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control, but extended
Buyer control, but extended
The VWAP structure is constructive, but price is stretched far enough above the core level to reduce early-entry quality.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
3 references converge near 56.42: 26-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation65.93
A completed close above 52-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area62.77
Swing low at 62.77, 0.3% below the latest close.
Weakening level62.77
A completed close below Swing low with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing low62.77
-0.32% from close
13-week VWAP62.03
-1.50% from close
52-week VWAP65.93
+4.70% from close
26-week VWAP56.45
-10.36% from close
High-activity anchor56.45
-10.36% from close
Year VWAP56.35
-10.51% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 96%Above price 4%
4%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · ^SSMIWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -15.4 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 80/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim73% favourable
Events
11
Median 4w
+0.61%
Median 13w
+3.12%
Typical best
+4.76%
Typical worst
-2.96%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss27% favourable
Events
11
Median 4w
+2.45%
Median 13w
+5.92%
Typical best
+6.59%
Typical worst
-2.54%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states40 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
43%
Median 4w
-0.27%
Positive after 13w
48%
Median 13w
-0.22%
Best / worst 13w
+20752.9% / -12.4%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readSMI is presenting a mixed underlying picture
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.50 · Mixed
Current stateMixed · 0.50
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
7 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.50 · Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 17 comparable completed observations, 52.9% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +1.5%.
Comparable observations
17
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
52.9%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+1.5%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-9.1 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
62.97
12-Week Change
3.26%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.80%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-77.61
Market Dynamics
1.11
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, JPNJPA rose 3.26%, moving from 60.98 to 62.97. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -77.61 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.11 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.80% based on similar historical setup states.
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