UDNG JKT Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Latest close 1,375 IDR
28.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 28.5%, after a 9.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 1,375 IDR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 28.5% latest completed week
4W Return 9.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 28.5%, after a 9.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.07

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.1% over four weeks, 19.6% over 12 weeks, and -4.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W28.5%
4W9.1%
12W19.6%
26W-32.9%
52W-4.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.31Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-14.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-26.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-75.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility17.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+59.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-40.5%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+28.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses13
Recent vol17.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol23.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew20.3% / -18.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,375 IDR28.5%1,680 IDR958.5 IDR0.31-26.695.6MOff
31 Jul 20261,070 IDR-8.5%1,767 IDR955.6 IDR0.26-41.273.8MOff
24 Jul 20261,170 IDR-7.9%1,898 IDR954.8 IDR0.35-35.203.3MOff
17 Jul 20261,270 IDR0.8%2,003 IDR953.2 IDR0.34-29.414.1MOff
10 Jul 20261,260 IDR-10.6%2,092 IDR950.9 IDR0.36-26.773.5MOff
3 Jul 20261,410 IDR12.8%2,181 IDR948.7 IDR0.27-16.892.1MOff
26 Jun 20261,250 IDR-33.3%2,283 IDR945.3 IDR0.09-26.451.4MOff
19 Jun 20261,875 IDR33.9%2,367 IDR943.1 IDR-0.085.852.7MOff
12 Jun 20261,400 IDR19.7%2,416 IDR936.2 IDR-0.30-17.801.4MOff
5 Jun 20261,170 IDR-10.7%2,514 IDR932.7 IDR-0.45-25.712.3MOff
29 May 20261,310 IDR6.5%2,605 IDR931.0 IDR-0.42-23.524.7MOff
22 May 20261,230 IDR7.0%2,664 IDR928.1 IDR-0.52-27.9113.4MOff
15 May 20261,150 IDR-4.2%2,710 IDR925.8 IDR-0.72-37.604.2MOff
8 May 20261,200 IDR31.1%2,746 IDR924.1 IDR-0.95-36.5912.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context