3851 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nippon Ichi Software, Inc. · Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Latest close 1,057 JPY
-0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 23.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 1,057 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.6% latest completed week
4W Return 23.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 27.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 23.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4712-week average 0.51

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.47Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 23.2% over four weeks, 27.3% over 12 weeks, and 15.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.6%
4W23.2%
12W27.3%
26W31.6%
52W15.6%
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change471.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change117.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

0 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-1.9%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains15
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses0
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -1.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,057 JPY-0.6%849.7 JPY915.5 JPY1.323.83423.0KOn
31 Jul 20261,063 JPY18.0%841.3 JPY916.0 JPY1.115.69957.0KOn
24 Jul 2026901.0 JPY0.6%832.7 JPY916.3 JPY0.64-11.2620.8KOn
17 Jul 2026896.0 JPY4.4%828.8 JPY917.7 JPY0.17-11.7452.5KOn
10 Jul 2026858.0 JPY2.6%825.0 JPY919.2 JPY-0.35-21.6030.5KOn
3 Jul 2026836.0 JPY0.8%822.8 JPY921.0 JPY-0.80-25.681.3KOn
26 Jun 2026829.0 JPY1.1%821.6 JPY923.0 JPY-0.88-26.68800On
19 Jun 2026820.0 JPY1.2%820.8 JPY925.1 JPY-0.72-30.16700Off
12 Jun 2026810.0 JPY-1.9%820.2 JPY927.1 JPY-0.39-26.423.9KOn
5 Jun 2026826.0 JPY0.1%820.4 JPY929.2 JPY-0.09-26.502.7KOn
29 May 2026825.0 JPY-0.6%820.0 JPY931.1 JPY0.10-27.2252.3KOn
22 May 2026830.0 JPY0.0%820.1 JPY933.0 JPY0.33-24.1421.7KOn
15 May 2026830.0 JPY0.6%820.0 JPY934.9 JPY0.54-22.527.8KOn
8 May 2026825.0 JPY-1.9%820.0 JPY936.9 JPY0.78-25.2315.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context