- The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
PM
MEX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Philip Morris International Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Latest close
3,248 MXN
-2.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a 2.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
53
out of 100
Latest Close
3,248 MXN
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
34.6%
18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.60% based on similar historical setup states.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.9%.
Indicator stack
64/76
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.60%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a 2.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6812-week average 0.48
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.9% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and 3.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change76.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change161.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
2 positive · 2 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.6%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-9.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-2.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks2
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Consumer Defensive
4-week rank15 / 53
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth34.0%
Trend34.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.5%positive activity pressure
RS35.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Tobacco
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-2.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape55/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis63/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.68; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.60%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.60% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Philip Morris (PM) Stock Looks Reasonable After $1.2B ZYN Push Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3,248 MXN | -2.3% | 3,097 MXN | 2,502 MXN | 1.08 | 5.28 | 48 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,323 MXN | 0.9% | 3,082 MXN | 2,492 MXN | 1.10 | 7.47 | 81 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3,293 MXN | -2.6% | 3,068 MXN | 2,481 MXN | 1.05 | 7.17 | 670 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3,381 MXN | 7.2% | 3,049 MXN | 2,471 MXN | 0.92 | 9.50 | 86 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3,155 MXN | -0.3% | 3,027 MXN | 2,459 MXN | 0.61 | 2.02 | 34 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3,165 MXN | 1.3% | 3,013 MXN | 2,449 MXN | 0.43 | 1.01 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3,123 MXN | 0.5% | 3,003 MXN | 2,440 MXN | 0.18 | -0.99 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3,108 MXN | -0.6% | 2,994 MXN | 2,430 MXN | -0.01 | -2.70 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3,128 MXN | 3.2% | 2,986 MXN | 2,420 MXN | 0.01 | -3.06 | 14 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3,032 MXN | -1.4% | 2,976 MXN | 2,410 MXN | 0.07 | -4.02 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 3,076 MXN | -5.0% | 2,968 MXN | 2,401 MXN | -0.02 | -6.62 | 6 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3,238 MXN | -2.9% | 2,961 MXN | 2,391 MXN | -0.16 | -1.81 | 67 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,334 MXN | 13.6% | 2,949 MXN | 2,380 MXN | -0.35 | 1.25 | 46 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2,936 MXN | 1.9% | 2,936 MXN | 2,369 MXN | -0.62 | -13.54 | 36 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.