- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
TLO
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Talon Metals Corp. · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
7.08 CAD
40.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 40.8%, after a 29.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
7.08 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
40.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
29.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.26% based on similar historical setup states.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
40.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 29.4%.
Indicator stack
51/37
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.26%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 40.8%, after a 29.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4612-week average 0.63
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.46Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 29.4% over four weeks, 8.4% over 12 weeks, and 1626.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership73.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change37.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 73%
Model confidence 68%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength28/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Value38/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality40/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Momentum41/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Growth41/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 24.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 237.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -3.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -69.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -0.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -3.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -3.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -2.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
3 positive · 22 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+40.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-22.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+40.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol12.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol114.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew40.6% / -7.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank9 / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank1 / 55
Group average3.6%
Trend breadth10.9%
Trend10.9%active weekly trend signals
MD16.4%positive activity pressure
RS27.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis52/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.46; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.26%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.26% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 81; Small Cap Core rank 61 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
Talon Metals Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy TLO.TO? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 7.08 CAD | 40.8% | 6.23 CAD | 1.37 CAD | -0.83 | 73.16 | 3.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.03 CAD | -7.4% | 6.02 CAD | 1.33 CAD | -1.19 | 31.09 | 1.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.43 CAD | 3.4% | 5.87 CAD | 1.30 CAD | -1.14 | 44.30 | 1.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.25 CAD | -4.0% | 5.71 CAD | 1.26 CAD | -1.11 | 43.61 | 2.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.47 CAD | -1.8% | 5.56 CAD | 1.23 CAD | -1.15 | 53.42 | 2.4M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.57 CAD | 2.2% | 5.39 CAD | 1.20 CAD | -1.17 | 60.91 | 126.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.45 CAD | -8.1% | 5.22 CAD | 1.16 CAD | -1.11 | 63.37 | 575.2K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.93 CAD | -2.3% | 5.05 CAD | 1.13 CAD | -0.96 | 83.25 | 345.2K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.07 CAD | -1.8% | 4.87 CAD | 1.09 CAD | -0.83 | 94.24 | 392.8K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.18 CAD | -9.6% | 4.68 CAD | 1.06 CAD | -0.72 | 108.16 | 721.8K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 6.84 CAD | 3.3% | 4.49 CAD | 1.02 CAD | -0.57 | 137.00 | 4.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 6.62 CAD | 1.4% | 4.27 CAD | 0.98 CAD | -0.48 | 141.96 | 3.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.53 CAD | -11.8% | 4.07 CAD | 0.94 CAD | -0.27 | 154.54 | 3.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.40 CAD | 5.7% | 3.87 CAD | 0.90 CAD | -0.01 | 200.66 | 3.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.