Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
CRYPTO ยท Crypto ยท United States
Cosmos USD
CryptoCryptocurrency
Cosmos (ATOM) is a cryptocurrency . Cosmos has a current supply of 517,195,867.003913. The last known price of Cosmos is 1.59526097 USD and is up 1.55 over the last 24 hours. It is currently trading on 982 active market(s) with $28,312,244.82 traded over the last 24 hours. More information can be found at https://cosmos.network/.
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Crypto ยท CRYPTO
Sector
Crypto
Industry
Cryptocurrency
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
818,912,512
Fair value reference
5.33
Next-week expectancy
Negative ยท 44.77%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, Cosmos USD fell 2.95%, moving from 1.65 to 1.60. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -17.05 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.51 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.77% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
1.60
12-Week Change
-2.95%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.77%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationDeclining structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Developing
Current structureDeclining structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 1.58 ยท Resistance 1.80
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+6.07%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 93% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history1% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-96.3%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+30.8%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.8ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
3 weeks ago
Price Action signal
A completed Price Action confirmation was published.
12 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
47 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow accepted value
52-week position
10.3%
Low to high
Accepted price
4.57
Latest versus accepted: -64.98%
Fitted direction
Falling
-3.08% per week
Range pressure
49/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.05ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support1.22
From price
-24.1%
Evidence
32/100
Touches
1
Current pivot1.61
From price
0.8%
Evidence
46/100
Touches
3
Resistance1.84
From price
14.6%
Evidence
33/100
Touches
1
Resistance4.41
From price
175.5%
Evidence
73/100
Touches
2
Resistance4.57
From price
185.5%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
3
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow accepted value
Price is at 10.3% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -3.08% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 49/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level1.22
Support is 24.1% from the latest close with 32/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.14 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 48 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
No recent reversal warning is present in the completed-week record.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
Broader agreement between price, trend and the completed-week support state would strengthen the case.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
No published Smart Money event marker appears in the completed history currently shown.
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readHistorically weak pressure has begun to recover
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
-69.96% ยท Historically weak ยท Recovering
Market positionHistorically weak
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionRecovering
Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsRecovery watch
Deep weakness is repairing, but confirmation is not yet established.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Negative pressure is receding, which keeps a repair path open.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
Deep weakness is repairing, but confirmation is not yet established.
What to watch next
The latest path is recovering with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 7% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 93% of completed observations.
State persistence183 completed weeks
The current historically weak state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 91 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 43% of the time; the typical move was -3.2%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
Latest week
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
9 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
10 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
11 weeks ago
Price Action signal
A completed Price Action signal was published from a weak market-perception position.
12 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
18 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlSellers firmly in control
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 50% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
14/100 pressure
ControlSellers firmly in control
Pressure 14/100 and +1.9 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack1 of 6 below price
The principal VWAP references are separated rather than clustered.
Acceptance50% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction-1.3% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace -0.4 pts.
Stretch1.1 normal ranges below
Price is -12.6% from the core VWAP.
Persistence13 completed weeks
Price has remained below the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Sellers firmly in control
Sellers firmly in control
The current position, VWAP direction and completed acceptance evidence broadly agree.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
No tight VWAP cluster
The principal VWAP references are separated rather than clustered.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation1.63
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area1.63
13-week VWAP at 1.63, 1.9% above the latest close.
Weakening level1.45
A completed close below Swing low with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
13-week VWAP1.63
+1.92% from close
Swing low1.45
-9.45% from close
26-week VWAP1.83
+14.37% from close
Year VWAP1.98
+23.60% from close
High-activity anchor2.22
+38.54% from close
52-week VWAP2.83
+76.52% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 4%Above price 96%
4%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท COINWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -40.3 points.
Control is contested ยท 54/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim0% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
-10.48%
Median 13w
-35.89%
Typical best
-2.09%
Typical worst
-41.78%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss100% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
-8.02%
Median 13w
-35.30%
Typical best
+6.09%
Typical worst
-36.63%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states70 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
40%
Median 4w
-2.79%
Positive after 13w
33%
Median 13w
-8.90%
Best / worst 13w
+180.4% / -50.3%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.04 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.04
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
7 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price weakness
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.04 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 55 comparable completed observations, 45.5% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -6.3%.
Comparable observations
55
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
45.5%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-6.3%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+3.9 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
1.60
12-Week Change
-2.95%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.77%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-17.05
Market Dynamics
-0.51
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, Cosmos USD fell 2.95%, moving from 1.65 to 1.60. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -17.05 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.51 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.77% based on similar historical setup states.
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