- The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
RAP1V
HEL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Rapala VMC Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Latest close
1.34 EUR
4.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 10.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
1.34 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
5.8%
3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.44% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.3%.
Indicator stack
14/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 30.44%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 10.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7012-week average 0.41
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals3Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.3% over four weeks, 6.8% over 12 weeks, and -0.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change46.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.76Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change134.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
2 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.8%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-15.6%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+4.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorFI Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank7 / 26
Group average6.5%
Trend breadth23.1%
Trend23.1%active weekly trend signals
MD69.2%positive activity pressure
RS26.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryFI Leisure
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average11.0%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis50/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.70; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 30.44%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 30.44% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Rapala VMC Corporation’s Annual Report 2025 has been released Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.34 EUR | 4.3% | 1.17 EUR | 1.95 EUR | 1.02 | 2.76 | 116.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.28 EUR | 1.2% | 1.17 EUR | 1.97 EUR | 0.86 | -1.70 | 73.0K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.27 EUR | 1.6% | 1.16 EUR | 1.98 EUR | 0.77 | -3.15 | 63.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.25 EUR | 2.9% | 1.16 EUR | 1.99 EUR | 0.70 | -4.92 | 36.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.22 EUR | -0.4% | 1.16 EUR | 2.01 EUR | 0.69 | -7.95 | 34.4K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.22 EUR | 2.5% | 1.16 EUR | 2.02 EUR | 0.67 | -9.33 | 5.2K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.19 EUR | -2.1% | 1.16 EUR | 2.04 EUR | 0.67 | -10.28 | 11.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.22 EUR | -0.4% | 1.17 EUR | 2.05 EUR | 0.73 | -10.32 | 42.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.22 EUR | -1.2% | 1.17 EUR | 2.07 EUR | 0.73 | -11.89 | 4.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.24 EUR | 2.1% | 1.17 EUR | 2.09 EUR | 0.88 | -13.15 | 29.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.21 EUR | -1.6% | 1.17 EUR | 2.11 EUR | 0.64 | -15.36 | 307.5K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.23 EUR | -2.0% | 1.17 EUR | 2.12 EUR | 0.24 | -14.83 | 174.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.25 EUR | 17.8% | 1.17 EUR | 2.14 EUR | -0.16 | -10.62 | 598.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.06 EUR | 3.9% | 1.17 EUR | 2.16 EUR | -0.69 | -24.20 | 117.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.