Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
CURRENCIES ยท Currency ยท United States
AUD/JPY
CurrenciesForeign Exchange
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Currencies ยท CURRENCIES
Sector
Currencies
Industry
Foreign Exchange
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
100.80
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 59.70%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, AUD/JPY fell 0.08%, moving from 114.06 to 113.96. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 6.32 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.93 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.70% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
113.96
12-Week Change
-0.08%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.70%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 98.07 ยท Resistance 114.21
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceActivity proxyTypical activity proxyPublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+1.20%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 90% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history99% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-0.4%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+78.4%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.3ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
1 week ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
18 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
23 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
52-week position
96.1%
Low to high
Accepted price
93.67
Latest versus accepted: 21.67%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.34% per week
Range pressure
56/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Expanding
1.46ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support93.67
From price
-17.8%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
5
Support95.68
From price
-16.0%
Evidence
85/100
Touches
4
Support112.58
From price
-1.2%
Evidence
66/100
Touches
2
Resistance114.30
From price
0.3%
Evidence
80/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 96.1% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.34% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 56/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level114.30
Resistance is 0.3% from the latest close with 80/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.72 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 55 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathConstructive ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
Latest week
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
3 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
4 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+13.06% ยท Positive ยท Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityMixed
Recent pressure is moving unevenly and needs further confirmation.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with mixed trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 18% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 82% of completed observations.
State persistence44 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 115 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 62% of the time; the typical move was +0.6%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
2 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
5 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
10 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
14 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
21 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
30 weeks ago
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is constructive, with early moderation
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.75 ยท Constructive
Current stateConstructive ยท 0.75
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
2 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.75 ยท Constructive
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 30 comparable completed observations, 70.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +1.8%.
Comparable observations
30
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
70.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+1.8%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+5.2 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
113.96
12-Week Change
-0.08%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.70%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
6.32
Market Dynamics
-0.93
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, AUD/JPY fell 0.08%, moving from 114.06 to 113.96. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 6.32 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.93 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.70% based on similar historical setup states.
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