260 completed weekly observations ยท 25 Sep 2026

NASDAQ ยท Equity ยท technical research

STBA Technicals

S&T Bancorp Inc

Financial Services ยท Banks - Regional

RotationalPrice-technical state

Week ending25 September 2026
-0.7%
Open
50.16
High
50.31
Low
48.86
Close
49.82 USD
Price structureRotationalcompleted-week alignment
Momentum61.1Positive
Risk pressure4.0%Contained
Trend quality31.5Directional
Range position74%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

01 ยท Market Dynamics

Price and underlying support

Weekly close ยท published Market Dynamics
Price remains elevated without full Market Dynamics support

Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.

Preparing Market Dynamics chart Checking the chart library, completed-week data and display size.
Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Reversal warning Reversal danger
Current tape relationship
Unsupported elevation

Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.

Price location
Distribution zone

Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.

Latest positioning marker
1 Dec 2023

The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.

Market Dynamics confirmation
Not confirming

Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks and now lags the elevated price.

Chart contextPrice is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.

InterpretationThis is a downside warning, not a confirmed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics would repair the gap; weaker price would begin to confirm it.

Reading the zones and markers

The line shows completed weekly price. Market Dynamics describes the underlying support. Green marks a recovery through the accumulation zone; amber and red identify reversal warnings and danger. Price can stay in the distribution zone while advancing. Read the zones, markers and Market Dynamics together; they do not identify individual trades or prove who is participating.

02 ยท Technical indicators

The price move needs stronger confirmation.

6 selected views ยท 156 observations

Price and its trend references do not yet establish one direction. Trend strength supports a persistent move. Market Dynamics is not fully confirming the price structure; compare both readings before treating the move as broadly supported.

Fast trend reference 49.88 USDClose -0.1%Slow trend reference 47.70 USDClose +4.5%Selection adapts to the setup and available history.

Structure

Price and trend

Price49.82

Rotational. Price anchors every interpretation against the same completed observations.

Watch Watch whether price holds its trend references or begins to cross back through them.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Close
49.82
Fast trend
49.88
Slow trend
47.70
Upper envelope
53.45
Lower envelope
44.10

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Trend strength and direction

Trend strength31.46

Directional trend. Trend strength helps decide how much weight to put on momentum extremes.

Watch Strength measures persistence, not direction. Compare positive and negative control before interpreting it.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Trend strength
31.46
Positive direction
19.21
Negative direction
10.63

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum change

Impulse expansion-0.27

Negative impulse, easing. Acceleration can reveal a change before the broader price structure fully responds.

Watch A return through the neutral line deserves attention when trend and participation also change.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Impulse
1.97
Signal
2.24
Expansion
-0.2703

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Range and volatility

Range pressure4.05%

Ordinary variability. Recent variability puts the size of price moves and reference gaps in context.

Watch Watch whether a range expansion gains directional follow-through or quickly reverses.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Range pressure
4.05
Envelope width
19.16

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Leadership

Relative strength

Relative strength0.801

Leading the benchmark. Benchmark context tests whether the move is company leadership or broader market participation.

Watch Watch whether relative strength confirms the absolute trend or continues to disagree.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Relative strength
0.8012

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum

Momentum61.12

Positive pressure. Momentum helps test whether the latest price direction has follow-through.

Watch Watch for pressure to turn with price. A stretched reading alone does not establish a reversal.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or stretched.

Momentum
61.12
Rotation
48.47
Rotation signal
54.54

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

More indicators3 additional views from the same history

Structure

Position in the recent range

Range position73.79%

Inside the recent range. Range location is especially useful when a trend is not yet firmly established.

Watch Look for acceptance outside the range or a return toward its middle, supported by momentum.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.

Range position
73.79
From high
-6.20
From low
22.87

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Drawdown and recovery

Drawdown-3.77%

Recovery still incomplete. Distance below the observed high separates recovery from an established new high.

Watch A recovery can improve while price remains below its former high. Track both parts of the path.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Drawdown
-3.77
Recovery
18.19

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Participation

Volume participation

Activity / norm105.31

Near normal activity. Activity tests the participation behind price; it does not identify who is buying or selling.

Watch Look for sustained participation in the direction of price, rather than a single busy observation.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Activity versus norm
105.31
Cumulative balance
129.73

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

03 ยท Scenarios

Conditions to monitor

Possible developments ยท no assigned probabilities
Upward resolution

Price gains acceptance above the range

An advance has stronger context when momentum, participation and Market Dynamics improve together and price holds the new ground.

Continued rotation

Moves return inside the range

Momentum turns without lasting price progress. Keep the range boundaries in view until a direction persists.

Downward resolution

The lower range gives way

A break has stronger context when downside momentum builds and relative strength weakens. Check whether a following completed observation holds below the range.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

SM gauge assessment

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Market Dynamics has stronger support The gauges support the downward view

The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.

SM Consensus Gauge-0.7

Market Dynamics has stronger support

SM Control Gauge-2.2

Control support is limited

SM Force Gauge-8.6

Commitment is limited

SM Direction Gauge-1.7

Follow-through is limited

SM Confirmation Gauge24/100

Limited support

SM consensus path ยท Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest -0.7
Market Dynamics has stronger support
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlControl support is limitedRecent pathBroadly stableLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceCommitment is limitedRecent pathCommitment is easingLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionFollow-through is limitedFollow-throughUnsettledLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationLimited supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk

05 ยท Historical record

Evidence from previous conditions

Completed cases ยท open cases excluded from outcomes

STBA ยท current evidence

Current conditions

This is a warning, not a completed reversal. Price can remain elevated while the gap is open.

1
NowEasier this week

Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.

2
Recent directionWeakened over four weeks

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

3
Price responsePrice remains elevated relative to support

Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.

4
Previous cases0.0% moved lower

After 12 weeks across 2 cases. Average move: 6.3%.

What strengthens this viewContinued separation or a weaker price response would confirm that the structural warning remains relevant.What would change itThe warning resolves when Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects enough to close the gap.

Completed observations

Historical comparisons

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.38
Direction agreed
50.2%
Completed comparisons
255
After accumulation2 distinct visits
4 weeks100.0% higher2 outcomes 12 weeks100.0% higher2 outcomes 26 weeks100.0% higher2 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 3.5 weeks.

After distribution2 distinct visits
4 weeks0.0% lower2 outcomes 12 weeks0.0% lower1 outcome 26 weeksRecord building0 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 2.0 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

Completed outcomes by condition

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics positive 68.8% were higher

Average 12-week move: 7.0% from 16 completed cases.

Price lower ยท Market Dynamics negative 44.4% were lower

Average 12-week move: 3.8% from 18 completed cases.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 7.4%

37.5% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 5.9 weeks on average.

Price cautious ยท Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 11.2%

60.0% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 6.9 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Short-term and structural view
Short-term improvement has not closed the structural gap

When the same completed price/Market Dynamics gap appeared previously in the displayed record, 0.0% of cases were lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 6.3% across 2 cases.

ApproachTreat the latest strengthening as an improvement in the immediate reading, not as full confirmation of price. The structural warning remains until Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects toward the underlying evidence.

Review the case whenThe warning resolves when Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects enough to close the gap.

Zone positioning
Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case

After distribution, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.

ApproachReview long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.

Review the case whenA sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Readings describe completed observations. A strong reading is not a forecast, and historical outcomes are not probabilities for the next move. The full record, related research and technical pack remain available for closer review.

Technical research pack โ†—

Evidence context