260 completed weekly observations ยท 25 Sep 2026

VIE ยท Equity ยท technical research

FDJ Technicals

FDJ United

Consumer Cyclical ยท Gambling

Aligned downwardPrice-technical state

Week ending25 September 2026
-4.7%
Open
21.96
High
22.34
Low
20.94
Close
20.94 EUR
Open chart Market Dynamics Report โ†—
Research for FDJ
Crowd view ยท No votes yet
Crowd view
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Price structureAligned downwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum38.9Negative
Risk pressure3.5%Contained
Trend quality16.4Range-led
Range position7%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

01 ยท Market Dynamics

Price and underlying support

Weekly close ยท published Market Dynamics
Downward price structure is confirmed by Market Dynamics

Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.

Preparing Market Dynamics chart Checking the chart library, completed-week data and display size.
Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Reversal warning Reversal danger
Current tape relationship
Accumulation pressure

Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.

Price location
Accumulation zone

Price is being tested for a confirmed recovery through the lower zone.

Latest positioning marker
20 Feb 2026

The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.

Market Dynamics confirmation
Weakening

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

Chart contextPrice is in the accumulation zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying conditions are repairing or continuing to weaken.

InterpretationThe downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.

Reading the zones and markers

The line shows completed weekly price. Market Dynamics describes the underlying support. Green marks a recovery through the accumulation zone; amber and red identify reversal warnings and danger. Price can stay in the distribution zone while advancing. Read the zones, markers and Market Dynamics together; they do not identify individual trades or prove who is participating.

02 ยท Technical indicators

A quieter range puts the next expansion in focus.

6 selected views ยท 156 observations

Price is below both trend references. Trend strength remains modest, making the recent range worth watching. Use momentum and available participation or leadership to test whether the move gains support.

Fast trend reference 22.06 EURClose -5.1%Slow trend reference 22.45 EURClose -6.7%Selection adapts to the setup and available history.

Structure

Price and trend

Price20.94

Aligned downward. Price anchors every interpretation against the same completed observations.

Watch Watch whether price holds its trend references or begins to cross back through them.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Close
20.94
Fast trend
22.06
Slow trend
22.45
Upper envelope
23.61
Lower envelope
21.26

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Position in the recent range

Range position6.54%

Pressing the lower range. Range location is especially useful when a trend is not yet firmly established.

Watch Look for acceptance outside the range or a return toward its middle, supported by momentum.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.

Range position
6.54
From high
-14.57
From low
1.21

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum

Momentum38.94

Negative pressure. Momentum helps test whether the latest price direction has follow-through.

Watch Watch for pressure to turn with price. A stretched reading alone does not establish a reversal.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or stretched.

Momentum
38.94
Rotation
9.12
Rotation signal
38.98

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Drawdown and recovery

Drawdown-39.41%

Recovery still incomplete. Distance below the observed high separates recovery from an established new high.

Watch A recovery can improve while price remains below its former high. Track both parts of the path.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Drawdown
-39.41
Recovery
0.00

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Leadership

Relative strength

Relative strength-24.19

Lagging the benchmark. Benchmark context tests whether the move is company leadership or broader market participation.

Watch Watch whether relative strength confirms the absolute trend or continues to disagree.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Relative strength
-24.19

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Range and volatility

Range pressure3.52%

Compressed range. Compression can precede a change in pace; direction still needs price confirmation.

Watch Watch whether a range expansion gains directional follow-through or quickly reverses.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Range pressure
3.52
Envelope width
10.46

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

More indicators2 additional views from the same history

Structure

Trend strength and direction

Trend strength16.43

Range-led movement. Trend strength helps decide how much weight to put on momentum extremes.

Watch Strength measures persistence, not direction. Compare positive and negative control before interpreting it.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Trend strength
16.43
Positive direction
21.42
Negative direction
37.44

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum change

Impulse expansion-0.093

Negative impulse, easing. Acceleration can reveal a change before the broader price structure fully responds.

Watch A return through the neutral line deserves attention when trend and participation also change.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Impulse
-0.3157
Signal
-0.2229
Expansion
-0.0928

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

03 ยท Scenarios

Conditions to monitor

Possible developments ยท no assigned probabilities
Continuation

The decline retains control

Price remains below its trend references, downward momentum persists and relative strength fails to repair. Check whether Market Dynamics continues to support that direction.

Early repair

A rebound begins to gain support

Momentum improves and price regains the fast trend reference. A rebound alone does not establish a durable change; compare the slower reference and Market Dynamics.

Challenge the view

The downward structure is displaced

Price recovers its trend references while momentum and leadership improve. Reassess the bearish structure as completed observations confirm the repair.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

SM gauge assessment

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
price action evidence only
Joint downward confirmation The gauges support the downward market view

Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.

SM Consensus Gauge-69.5

Joint downward confirmation

SM Control Gauge-66.2

Seller control supports the view

SM Force Gauge-92.2

Downward commitment

SM Direction Gauge-57.1

Downward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge99/100

Strong support

SM consensus path ยท Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest -69.5
Joint downward confirmation
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlSeller control supports the viewRecent pathControl support is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceDownward commitmentRecent pathCommitment is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionDownward follow-throughFollow-throughUnsettledLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationStrong supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk

05 ยท Historical record

Evidence from previous conditions

Completed cases ยท open cases excluded from outcomes

FDJ ยท current evidence

Current conditions

The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.

1
NowEasier this week

Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.

2
Recent directionWeakened over four weeks

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

3
Price responsePrice structure is downward

Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics.

4
Previous cases55.0% moved lower

After 12 weeks across 20 cases. Average move: -2.5%.

What strengthens this viewThe downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.What would change itReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Completed observations

Historical comparisons

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.42
Direction agreed
49.8%
Completed comparisons
255
After accumulation6 distinct visits
4 weeks50.0% higher4 outcomes 12 weeks50.0% higher2 outcomes 26 weeks100.0% higher1 outcome

Average time before leaving the zone: 3.6 weeks.

After distribution3 distinct visits
4 weeks100.0% lower3 outcomes 12 weeks100.0% lower3 outcomes 26 weeks100.0% lower3 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 3.3 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

Completed outcomes by condition

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics positive 33.3% were higher

Average 12-week move: -1.7% from 18 completed cases.

Price lower ยท Market Dynamics negative 55.0% were lower

Average 12-week move: -2.5% from 20 completed cases.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 9.0%

52.9% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 6.9 weeks on average.

Price cautious ยท Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 5.0%

35.3% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 4.8 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Capital protection
Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition

In this ticker's completed record, 55.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.5% across 20 cases.

ApproachReduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.

Review the case whenReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Zone positioning
Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation

After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.

ApproachBuild the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.

Review the case whenA failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure.

Disagreement playbook
Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline

Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.0% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.9 weeks on average.

ApproachAvoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.

Review the case whenThe warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Readings describe completed observations. A strong reading is not a forecast, and historical outcomes are not probabilities for the next move. The full record, related research and technical pack remain available for closer review.

Technical research pack โ†—

Evidence context