260 completed weekly observations ยท 25 Sep 2026

SET ยท Equity ยท technical research

AYUD Technicals

Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited

Financial Services ยท Insurance - Property & Casualty

Aligned upwardPrice-technical state

Week ending25 September 2026
+0.6%
Open
43.25
High
44.00
Low
42.75
Close
44.00 THB
Open chart Market Dynamics Report โ†—
Research for AYUD
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Price structureAligned upwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum68.9Positive
Risk pressure3.3%Normal
Trend quality68.5Directional
Range position95%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

01 ยท Market Dynamics

Price and underlying support

Weekly close ยท published Market Dynamics
Price is ahead of Market Dynamics

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.

Preparing Market Dynamics chart Checking the chart library, completed-week data and display size.
Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Reversal warning Reversal danger
Current tape relationship
Unsupported elevation

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

Price location
Distribution zone

Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.

Latest positioning marker
7 Mar 2025

The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.

Market Dynamics confirmation
Not confirming

Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks and now lags the elevated price.

Chart contextPrice is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.

InterpretationThe gap can close through stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price. Until then, the upward structure should be treated as vulnerable rather than fully aligned.

Reading the zones and markers

The line shows completed weekly price. Market Dynamics describes the underlying support. Green marks a recovery through the accumulation zone; amber and red identify reversal warnings and danger. Price can stay in the distribution zone while advancing. Read the zones, markers and Market Dynamics together; they do not identify individual trades or prove who is participating.

02 ยท Technical indicators

The price move needs stronger confirmation.

6 selected views ยท 156 observations

Price is above both trend references. Trend strength supports a persistent move. Market Dynamics is not fully confirming the price structure; compare both readings before treating the move as broadly supported.

Fast trend reference 42.80 THBClose +2.8%Slow trend reference 40.67 THBClose +8.2%Selection adapts to the setup and available history.

Structure

Price and trend

Price44.00

Aligned upward. Price anchors every interpretation against the same completed observations.

Watch Watch whether price holds its trend references or begins to cross back through them.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Close
44.00
Fast trend
42.80
Slow trend
40.67
Upper envelope
45.18
Lower envelope
37.81

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Trend strength and direction

Trend strength68.50

Directional trend. Trend strength helps decide how much weight to put on momentum extremes.

Watch Strength measures persistence, not direction. Compare positive and negative control before interpreting it.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Trend strength
68.50
Positive direction
36.96
Negative direction
11.94

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum change

Impulse expansion-0.022

Negative impulse, easing. Acceleration can reveal a change before the broader price structure fully responds.

Watch A return through the neutral line deserves attention when trend and participation also change.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Impulse
1.86
Signal
1.88
Expansion
-0.0215

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Drawdown and recovery

Drawdown-0.565%

Recovery still incomplete. Distance below the observed high separates recovery from an established new high.

Watch A recovery can improve while price remains below its former high. Track both parts of the path.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Drawdown
-0.565
Recovery
23.37

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Leadership

Relative strength

Relative strength6.33

Leading the benchmark. Benchmark context tests whether the move is company leadership or broader market participation.

Watch Watch whether relative strength confirms the absolute trend or continues to disagree.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Relative strength
6.33

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum

Momentum68.91

Positive pressure. Momentum helps test whether the latest price direction has follow-through.

Watch Watch for pressure to turn with price. A stretched reading alone does not establish a reversal.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or stretched.

Momentum
68.91
Rotation
90.00
Rotation signal
78.27

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

More indicators3 additional views from the same history

Participation

Volume participation

Activity / norm30.33

Below normal activity. Activity tests the participation behind price; it does not identify who is buying or selling.

Watch Look for sustained participation in the direction of price, rather than a single busy observation.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Activity versus norm
30.33
Cumulative balance
135.00

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Position in the recent range

Range position94.89%

Pressing the upper range. Range location is especially useful when a trend is not yet firmly established.

Watch Look for acceptance outside the range or a return toward its middle, supported by momentum.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.

Range position
94.89
From high
-1.12
From low
26.77

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Range and volatility

Range pressure3.29%

Ordinary variability. Recent variability puts the size of price moves and reference gaps in context.

Watch Watch whether a range expansion gains directional follow-through or quickly reverses.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Range pressure
3.29
Envelope width
17.75

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

03 ยท Scenarios

Conditions to monitor

Possible developments ยท no assigned probabilities
Follow-through

The current direction gains support

Price keeps its trend alignment, momentum follows through and available participation or relative strength confirms. Compare this with the Market Dynamics reading.

Pause or repair

Pressure settles without structural damage

Momentum eases while price holds the relevant trend reference. Quieter activity can accompany a pause; it does not by itself confirm a reversal.

Challenge the view

Price and supporting evidence weaken together

Price loses its current alignment and momentum or leadership moves against it. Reassess the setup if the disagreement persists across completed observations.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

SM gauge assessment

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Joint upward confirmation The gauges support the upward market view

Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.

SM Consensus Gauge+36.0

Joint upward confirmation

SM Control Gauge+49.6

Buyer control supports the view

SM Force Gauge+29.8

Upward commitment

SM Direction Gauge+24.9

Upward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge87/100

Strong support

SM consensus path ยท Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest +36.0
Joint upward confirmation
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlBuyer control supports the viewRecent pathBroadly stableLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceUpward commitmentRecent pathBroadly stableLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionUpward follow-throughFollow-throughEstablishedLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationStrong supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk

05 ยท Historical record

Evidence from previous conditions

Completed cases ยท open cases excluded from outcomes

AYUD ยท current evidence

Current conditions

This is a warning, not a completed reversal. Price can remain elevated while the gap is open.

1
NowEasier this week

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

2
Recent directionWeakened over four weeks

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

3
Price responsePrice remains elevated relative to support

Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.

4
Previous cases0.0% moved lower

After 12 weeks across 2 cases. Average move: 5.6%.

What strengthens this viewContinued separation or a weaker price response would confirm that the structural warning remains relevant.What would change itThe warning resolves when Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects enough to close the gap.

Completed observations

Historical comparisons

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.28
Direction agreed
50.4%
Completed comparisons
238
After accumulation4 distinct visits
4 weeks75.0% higher4 outcomes 12 weeks75.0% higher4 outcomes 26 weeks75.0% higher4 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 10.2 weeks.

After distribution2 distinct visits
4 weeks0.0% lower1 outcome 12 weeksRecord building0 outcomes 26 weeksRecord building0 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 5.0 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

Completed outcomes by condition

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics positive 53.3% were higher

Average 12-week move: 1.3% from 15 completed cases.

Price lower ยท Market Dynamics negative 30.4% were lower

Average 12-week move: 2.0% from 23 completed cases.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 3.8%

60.9% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 6.2 weeks on average.

Price cautious ยท Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 8.2%

64.3% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 7.4 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Short-term and structural view
Short-term improvement has not closed the structural gap

When the same completed price/Market Dynamics gap appeared previously in the displayed record, 0.0% of cases were lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 5.6% across 2 cases.

ApproachTreat the latest strengthening as an improvement in the immediate reading, not as full confirmation of price. The structural warning remains until Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects toward the underlying evidence.

Review the case whenThe warning resolves when Market Dynamics catches up with price or price corrects enough to close the gap.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Readings describe completed observations. A strong reading is not a forecast, and historical outcomes are not probabilities for the next move. The full record, related research and technical pack remain available for closer review.

Technical research pack โ†—

Evidence context