WDC GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

WESTERN DIGITAL CORP. R · Technology · Computer Hardware

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Latest close 375.9 EUR
-21.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -21.0%, after a -25.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 375.9 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -21.0% latest completed week
4W Return -25.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 40-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.57% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -21.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -25.5%. Indicator stack 88/32 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 61.57% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 54/100 33 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -21.0%, after a -25.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9012-week average 0.98

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -25.5% over four weeks, -9.7% over 12 weeks, and 569.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 40 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-21.0%
4W-25.5%
12W-9.7%
26W60.1%
52W569.0%
Active trend streak40 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-137.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership39.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-66.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value7/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum100/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Growth87/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
11.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
31.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
24.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
29.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
50.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

4 positive · 27 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-45.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility14.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher19 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+35.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-21.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-21.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses6
Recent vol14.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol27.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split37/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.9% / -10.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape65/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis84/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.90; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.57%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.57% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors60/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 40 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

What's Going On With Western Digital Stock Monday? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026375.9 EUR-21.0%355.8 EUR113.0 EUR-0.4139.0843.5KOn
31 Jul 2026475.6 EUR2.1%348.7 EUR110.8 EUR0.0284.3445.0KOn
24 Jul 2026465.8 EUR15.6%338.1 EUR108.0 EUR0.1689.6432.4KOn
17 Jul 2026403.0 EUR-20.1%327.6 EUR105.2 EUR0.4570.7968.5KOn
10 Jul 2026504.6 EUR2.8%319.3 EUR102.9 EUR1.08117.1144.9KOn
3 Jul 2026490.8 EUR-7.4%307.3 EUR99.96 EUR1.30112.612.1KOn
26 Jun 2026529.9 EUR-19.3%295.7 EUR97.04 EUR1.65148.308.1KOn
19 Jun 2026656.9 EUR35.2%282.7 EUR93.89 EUR1.88216.9051.5KOn
12 Jun 2026486.0 EUR3.6%264.8 EUR89.96 EUR1.67151.288.0KOn
5 Jun 2026469.0 EUR2.8%253.2 EUR87.08 EUR1.73151.587.4KOn
29 May 2026456.3 EUR9.1%242.2 EUR84.32 EUR1.80151.5119.2KOn
22 May 2026418.2 EUR0.5%228.7 EUR81.58 EUR1.75142.2522.3KOn
15 May 2026416.2 EUR3.1%216.4 EUR79.13 EUR1.67160.4228.9KOn
8 May 2026403.9 EUR8.8%204.0 EUR76.79 EUR1.46159.0037.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context