- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
6906
TAI
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Groundhog Inc. · Technology · Information Technology Services
Latest close
73.70 TWD
3.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 4.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
23
out of 100
Latest Close
73.70 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-10.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
9.6%
5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.8%.
Indicator stack
5/34
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 39.10%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 4.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4512-week average 0.36
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.8% over four weeks, -10.6% over 12 weeks, and -39.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-142.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-39.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change9.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-42.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.1%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-12.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+3.5%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol13.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average12.8%
Trend breadth79.0%
Trend79.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS64.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Information Technology Services
4-week rank6 / 21
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD52.4%positive activity pressure
RS4.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape19/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 19/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis45/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.45; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.10%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.10% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 73.70 TWD | 3.5% | 75.10 TWD | 124.3 TWD | -0.28 | -39.92 | 464.0K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 71.20 TWD | 4.4% | 75.03 TWD | 124.7 TWD | -0.17 | -41.34 | 274.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 68.20 TWD | -5.3% | 75.34 TWD | 125.2 TWD | 0.02 | -43.78 | 414.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 72.00 TWD | 2.4% | 75.76 TWD | 125.7 TWD | 0.34 | -42.76 | 214.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 70.30 TWD | -12.3% | 76.09 TWD | 126.1 TWD | 0.66 | -44.20 | 570.5K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 80.16 TWD | -10.2% | 76.42 TWD | 126.5 TWD | 0.95 | -41.60 | 0 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 89.25 TWD | 2.7% | 76.57 TWD | 126.9 TWD | 1.21 | -38.44 | 544.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 86.91 TWD | -3.5% | 76.55 TWD | 127.2 TWD | 1.34 | -38.50 | 1.1M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 90.04 TWD | -0.1% | 76.51 TWD | 127.6 TWD | 1.51 | -40.18 | 688.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 90.13 TWD | -8.7% | 76.53 TWD | 127.9 TWD | 1.66 | -38.39 | 965.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 98.74 TWD | -7.3% | 76.70 TWD | 128.3 TWD | 1.48 | -35.35 | 977.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 106.6 TWD | 29.3% | 76.72 TWD | 128.6 TWD | 1.38 | -31.25 | 3.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 82.41 TWD | 30.1% | 76.57 TWD | 128.8 TWD | 0.75 | -44.89 | 1.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 63.35 TWD | -4.3% | 77.13 TWD | 129.2 TWD | 0.43 | -57.47 | 1.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.