HOVNP NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. PFD DEP1/1000A · Consumer Cyclical · Homebuilding & Construction Supplies

Latest close 19.75 USD
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -3.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 19.75 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -3.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -3.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4012-week average 0.56

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.9% over four weeks, -3.0% over 12 weeks, and 6.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W-3.9%
12W-3.0%
26W-2.3%
52W6.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.81Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change26.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-25.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 98%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength7/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth2/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
79.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
34.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
31.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-83.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
3925.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
9.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

2 positive · 37 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-4.0%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses15
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.4% / -1.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryUS Homebuilding & Construction Supplies
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-3.9%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202619.75 USD-0.8%20.38 USD16.53 USD-0.81-13.2756.0KOff
31 Jul 202619.90 USD-2.7%20.38 USD16.50 USD-0.76-8.4435.9KOff
24 Jul 202620.45 USD-0.6%20.39 USD16.46 USD-0.80-5.5910.7KOff
17 Jul 202620.57 USD0.1%20.36 USD16.42 USD-0.83-6.6430.3KOff
10 Jul 202620.55 USD3.3%20.31 USD16.38 USD-1.10-10.5814.2KOff
3 Jul 202619.90 USD0.6%20.24 USD16.34 USD-1.28-11.8416.9KOff
26 Jun 202619.78 USD-1.2%20.21 USD16.30 USD-1.26-11.5823.9KOff
19 Jun 202620.03 USD0.3%20.19 USD16.26 USD-1.23-14.4523.0KOff
12 Jun 202619.97 USD-0.7%20.16 USD16.21 USD-1.17-12.5010.6KOff
5 Jun 202620.11 USD-1.5%20.15 USD16.17 USD-1.03-9.8817.9KOn
29 May 202620.42 USD1.0%20.12 USD16.12 USD-0.96-12.5810.1KOn
22 May 202620.21 USD-0.7%20.09 USD16.07 USD-0.83-10.9923.3KOn
15 May 202620.36 USD-0.7%20.06 USD16.03 USD-0.60-9.3017.2KOn
8 May 202620.50 USD-0.2%20.04 USD15.98 USD-0.37-8.9812.6KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context