TRVG NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Trivago NV · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Latest close 5.28 USD
-3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 47.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -2.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 1d.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 5.28 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.3% latest completed week
4W Return -2.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 52.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.30% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 47.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a -2.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.56

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.4% over four weeks, 52.2% over 12 weeks, and 34.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.3%
4W-2.4%
12W52.2%
26W84.6%
52W34.0%
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-17.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership43.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 92%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth77/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework19/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
32.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
96.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
17.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
40.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-7.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

TRVG shows mixed options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 23.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction40/100
Expected move23.8%
Put/call volume
Pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend agreement98
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

13 positive · 29 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings1dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move23.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.8%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-11.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-3.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol10.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.28 USD-3.3%3.57 USD3.00 USD1.4243.69267.2KOn
24 Jul 20265.46 USD-3.2%3.49 USD2.99 USD1.6149.69372.6KOn
17 Jul 20265.64 USD6.0%3.40 USD2.98 USD1.6852.84380.7KOn
10 Jul 20265.32 USD-1.7%3.31 USD2.96 USD1.7438.96539.6KOn
3 Jul 20265.41 USD1.9%3.23 USD2.96 USD1.7344.30633.0KOn
26 Jun 20265.31 USD14.2%3.15 USD2.94 USD1.7443.26613.8KOn
19 Jun 20264.65 USD20.5%3.08 USD2.93 USD1.6820.21535.3KOn
12 Jun 20263.86 USD-10.0%3.02 USD2.92 USD1.622.03591.2KOn
5 Jun 20264.29 USD16.9%2.99 USD2.92 USD1.5015.09557.2KOn
29 May 20263.67 USD11.6%2.95 USD2.91 USD1.49-6.50207.4KOn
22 May 20263.29 USD7.2%2.94 USD2.91 USD1.32-14.63219.8KOff
15 May 20263.07 USD-11.5%2.93 USD2.91 USD1.01-20.42360.8KOff
8 May 20263.47 USD21.8%2.93 USD2.91 USD0.72-11.741.1MOff
1 May 20262.85 USD2.2%2.92 USD2.91 USD0.22-24.88179.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.