- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
VTEX
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
VTEX · Technology · Software - Application
Latest close
4.31 USD
10.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 46.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.5%, after a 4.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
4.31 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
10.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
15.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
11.5%
6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.31% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
10.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.1%.
Indicator stack
27/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.31%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
41/100 conviction; expected move 19.4%.
News sentiment
51/100
20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
4d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 46.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.5%, after a 4.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3412-week average 0.23
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.1% over four weeks, 15.2% over 12 weeks, and -25.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change5384.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change122.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth77/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework23/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 28.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 22.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 78.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 10.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 16.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 8.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 37.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 24.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 8.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 8.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
VTEX shows bearish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.00, expected move of 19.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction41/100
Expected move19.4%
Put/call volume3.00
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
4 positive · 13 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move19.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-7.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+10.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.3%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS54.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Software - Application
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.7%
Trend breadth30.0%
Trend30.0%active weekly trend signals
MD76.0%positive activity pressure
RS17.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis44/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.34; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.31%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.31% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors31/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 7; Small Cap Core rank 75 SVQF23/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 778.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options46/100VTEX shows bearish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.00, expected move of 19.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 19.4% Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
VTEX (NYSE:VTEX) Receives Average Recommendation of "Moderate Buy" from Brokerages Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.31 USD | 10.5% | 3.73 USD | 5.65 USD | 0.25 | 1.70 | 5.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.90 USD | -7.1% | 3.70 USD | 5.66 USD | 0.12 | -8.10 | 4.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.20 USD | 3.4% | 3.70 USD | 5.67 USD | 0.34 | -3.14 | 4.0M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.06 USD | -1.9% | 3.68 USD | 5.67 USD | 0.15 | -9.20 | 3.8M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.14 USD | 2.5% | 3.68 USD | 5.68 USD | -0.00 | -7.53 | 4.9M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.04 USD | 11.9% | 3.67 USD | 5.68 USD | -0.02 | -9.26 | 19.1M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.61 USD | -0.3% | 3.67 USD | 5.69 USD | -0.00 | -22.09 | 5.7M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.62 USD | -0.5% | 3.68 USD | 5.70 USD | 0.21 | -22.60 | 5.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.64 USD | -3.4% | 3.69 USD | 5.70 USD | 0.49 | -23.15 | 8.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.77 USD | 5.3% | 3.70 USD | 5.71 USD | 0.68 | -23.84 | 7.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.58 USD | 0.8% | 3.73 USD | 5.71 USD | 0.74 | -27.90 | 6.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.55 USD | -5.1% | 3.76 USD | 5.71 USD | 0.96 | -29.11 | 6.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.74 USD | -4.6% | 3.78 USD | 5.71 USD | 1.14 | -26.40 | 7.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 3.92 USD | -2.7% | 3.79 USD | 5.71 USD | 1.15 | -22.25 | 6.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.