- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 67.23% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
FER
MCE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ferrovial N.V. · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
57.36 EUR
1.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 70.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a 1.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
57.36 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.0%.
Indicator stack
52/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 67.23%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
25 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 70.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a 1.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5612-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.0% over four weeks, -0.2% over 12 weeks, and 30.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1654.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-25.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.
3 positive · 21 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorES Industrials
4-week rank13 / 36
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth58.3%
Trend58.3%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryES Engineering & Construction
4-week rank4 / 15
Group average3.8%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD13.3%positive activity pressure
RS6.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis37/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.56; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 67.23%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 67.23% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.
Ferrovial N.V. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:FER) 2026-08-01 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 57.36 EUR | 1.1% | 58.01 EUR | 42.36 EUR | -0.90 | -11.15 | 2.8M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 56.72 EUR | 1.8% | 57.97 EUR | 42.17 EUR | -0.90 | -10.47 | 5.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 55.70 EUR | -0.1% | 57.91 EUR | 41.99 EUR | -0.66 | -11.29 | 2.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 55.76 EUR | -1.8% | 57.88 EUR | 41.81 EUR | -0.28 | -9.64 | 2.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 56.80 EUR | -5.6% | 57.88 EUR | 41.64 EUR | 0.06 | -8.91 | 5.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 60.20 EUR | -0.9% | 57.85 EUR | 41.45 EUR | 0.12 | -5.86 | 308.5K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 60.74 EUR | 0.7% | 57.71 EUR | 41.23 EUR | -0.16 | -2.99 | 759.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 60.32 EUR | 3.5% | 57.54 EUR | 41.02 EUR | -0.33 | -3.30 | 2.3M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 58.30 EUR | -0.1% | 57.32 EUR | 40.80 EUR | -0.57 | -3.62 | 696.6K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 58.38 EUR | -0.5% | 57.19 EUR | 40.60 EUR | -0.51 | -1.30 | 827.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 58.70 EUR | 0.4% | 57.03 EUR | 40.40 EUR | -0.33 | -0.81 | 6.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 58.46 EUR | 1.7% | 56.83 EUR | 40.20 EUR | -0.44 | 0.92 | 3.9M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 57.50 EUR | -3.1% | 56.69 EUR | 40.00 EUR | -0.45 | 1.34 | 12.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 59.32 EUR | 2.5% | 56.53 EUR | 39.80 EUR | -0.43 | 3.08 | 5.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.