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Weekly closes ยท MXN
Market context
Stage
4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining, as of 11 Sep 2026
Sentiment
โ
RS
-3.56
Dynamics
0.13
Fair value gap
-5.2%
Week range
326.00โ326.00
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
MEX ยท ETF ยท Mexico
AQWA
Global X Clean Water ETF
Last updated
11 Sep 2026
Exchange
Mexican Stock Exchange ยท MEX
Sector
Not classified
Industry
Not classified
Currency
MXN
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
343.94
Next-week expectancy
Negative ยท 8.07%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, AQWA rose 0.68%, moving from 323.78 to 326.00. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -3.56 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.13 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 8.07% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
326.00
12-Week Change
0.68%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 8.07%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
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Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
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Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Support has broken down
Price and PSI are weakening together. An improvement in the bars would be the first sign of recovery.
PSI score
23/100
10 completed weeks
Recent support
-48
Strong
Readings pointing the same way
100%
Activity is weighing on price
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together44/100
Broad move building ยท more together
Ticker and market
Weakness is mainly in this ticker
PSI is weak, but the wider market is not showing the same degree of pressure.
PSI
-53.0
Market togetherness
44/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Current contextTicker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
Market Dynamics is positive; PSI remains weak
Market Dynamics is positive, but PSI has not confirmed the improvement.
Current reading
+0.13
Four-week change
+0.65
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Price is holding around the adaptive centre
The envelope places current price in context without treating a single band touch as a signal. Direction, persistence and the evidence checks below determine the quality of the read.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics is providing mixed context
Price or underlying support is near its middle ground. The next useful evidence is a clearer move that both APE and Market Dynamics confirm.
Current reading
+0.13
Four-week change
+0.65
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathMixed51% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineMixedNot fully aligned
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsSupportive+0.13 ยท +0.65 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthMixed-3.6 ยท +2.3 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Near the adaptive centre
The latest close sits at 51% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 2 completed weeks.
Envelope width
Envelope width is typical
Current width ranks at the 30th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Weak confirmation
38% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (328.36), upper boundary (336.93) and lower boundary (314.61).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Compression release
The envelope began expanding after an unusually compressed period.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with indecisive week
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is below its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is rising.
Full context ยท Developing
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipBelow trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 323.12 ยท Resistance 326.00
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityParticipation unavailable
A dependable completed-week activity comparison is not available for this market.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+0.00%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterIndecisive week
The open and close finished close together, showing limited control by either side.
Where the week closedMiddle of the range
The close finished at 50% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below trend; participation is participation unavailable, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history87% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-12.3%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+1706.9%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typicalComparison developing
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
15 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
28 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
36 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow accepted value
52-week position
5.6%
Low to high
Accepted price
371.76
Latest versus accepted: -12.31%
Fitted direction
Sideways
-0.05% per week
Range pressure
34/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.00ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonTime at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Current pivot325.53
From price
-0.1%
Evidence
79/100
Touches
34
Resistance339.98
From price
4.3%
Evidence
31/100
Touches
1
Resistance356.08
From price
9.2%
Evidence
72/100
Touches
12
Resistance371.91
From price
14.1%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
52
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow accepted value
Price is at 5.6% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving -0.05% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 34/100; 50 is balanced.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.23 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 37 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathSoft ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
Broader agreement between price, trend and the completed-week support state would strengthen the case.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
27 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
28 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
83 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
84 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
101 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Market Dynamics is improving ahead of price
Price is +0.7% across this view and is in the lower part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is 0.13 after a +0.65 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. Support is improving before price has provided the same confirmation.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-26Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
At accumulation for 16 completed weeks
The accumulation reading is confirmed. An upward exit starts the next journey toward distribution.
Current journey
No active journey
Activated
Not active
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. AQWA is currently in the accumulation area, but a new transition does not begin until price leaves a confirmed zone. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 4 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Accumulation 338.05Distribution 357.64
A dark-zone close or two consecutive light-zone closes confirms residence. A completed close moving out of confirmed accumulation starts a journey toward distribution; an exit from confirmed distribution starts the reverse journey. Time in each zone is retained before the next transition begins.
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 122 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2026-05-08โ2026-05-29 ยท 4 completed weeks ยท price move -6.9%. Across this chart, 4 journeys confirmed an opposite zone: 2 reached distribution and 2 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2026-05-08โ2026-05-29 ยท journey 4w ยท source dwell 10w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-6.9%
Time to confirm
4w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 4 completed weeks. Price moved -6.9% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2026-02-27โ2026-02-27 ยท journey 1w ยท source dwell 8w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+0.0%
Time to confirm
1w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 1 completed week. Price moved +0.0% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2026-01-02โ2026-01-02 ยท journey 1w ยท source dwell 19w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+0.0%
Time to confirm
1w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 1 completed week. Price moved +0.0% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2024-09-27โ2025-05-09 ยท journey 33w ยท source dwell 19w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+4.0%
Time to confirm
33w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 33 completed weeks. Price moved +4.0% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure remains established and holding steady
Price is holding a weak market-perception position. The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
-5.22% ยท Negative ยท Holding steady
Market positionNegative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position.
Pressure directionHolding steady
The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
Trend qualityOrderly
The completed path has progressed with relatively consistent direction.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is holding steady with orderly trend quality. Comparable history is limited record.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 19% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 81% of completed observations.
State persistence16 completed weeks
The current negative state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyLimited record
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a dependable historical summary.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
10 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
15 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
28 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
36 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
47 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
51 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlSeller control developing
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 50% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
25/100 pressure
ControlSeller control developing
Pressure 25/100 and -0.1 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack2 of 6 below price
3 references converge near 339.79: Year VWAP, High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP.
Acceptance50% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Seller control, but extended
Seller control, but extended
The VWAP structure is weak, but price is stretched far enough below the core level for snap-back risk to matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
3 references converge near 339.79: Year VWAP, High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation326.00
A completed close above Swing high with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area326.00
Swing high at 326.00, 0.0% above the latest close.
Weakening level325.66
A completed close below 13-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing high326.00
+0.00% from close
13-week VWAP325.66
-0.10% from close
Year VWAP339.49
+4.14% from close
High-activity anchor339.49
+4.14% from close
26-week VWAP340.37
+4.41% from close
52-week VWAP348.85
+7.01% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 42%Above price 58%
21%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท ^MXXBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +6.3 points.
Sellers firmly in control ยท 19/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim0% favourable
Events
3
Median 4w
+0.00%
Median 13w
+0.00%
Typical best
+0.00%
Typical worst
-4.00%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss25% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
+2.08%
Median 13w
+4.75%
Typical best
+4.75%
Typical worst
+0.00%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states14 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
43%
Median 4w
+0.00%
Positive after 13w
79%
Median 13w
+6.96%
Best / worst 13w
+13.8% / -6.2%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.04 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.04
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
10 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.04 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Historical context is still developing
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a responsible outcome summary.
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
326.00
12-Week Change
0.68%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 8.07%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-3.56
Market Dynamics
0.13
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, AQWA rose 0.68%, moving from 323.78 to 326.00. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -3.56 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.13 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is negative at 8.07% based on similar historical setup states.
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