AMS Equity Snapshot

UMG Weekly Equity Report

Universal Music Group N.V.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 17.76 EUR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -12.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Universal Music Group N.V. operates as a music company worldwide. The company operates through Recorded Music, Music Publishing, and Merchandising & Other segments. Its Recorded Music segment discovers and develops recording artists, as well as licenses, markets, promotes, distributes, and sells their music across various formats and platforms; and engages in the live events, sponsorship, film, and television operations. The Music Publishing segment discovers and develops songwriters, as well as owns and administers the copyright for musical compositions used in recordings, public performances, and related uses, such as films and advertisements. Its Merchandising & Other …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

UMG closed the latest completed week at 17.76 EUR. The 4-week return is -12.3% and the 12-week return is 13.0%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is 0.73. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 28/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -9.7%
Volume 1.4x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 7 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 33 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 67 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 59 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
19.67 EUR
Vs Trend Line
-9.7%
Fair Value
23.25 EUR
Vs Fair Value
-23.6%
52W High
27.64 EUR
52W Low
15.20 EUR
Drawdown
-35.8%
Range Position
20.6%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -2.1%
4W -12.3%
12W 13.0%
26W -17.7%
52W -34.9%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
7
52W Active Breadth
13.5%
Sector Scope
NL Communication Services
Sector Rank
5 of 6
Sector Percentile
20.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.73
4W MD Change
46.6%
Relative Strength
-27.16
4W RS Change
-88.3%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
55.09%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
23.1M
13W Average
16.5M
52W Average
11.1M
Vs 13W
1.4x
Vs 52W
2.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
7.9%
52W Volatility
4.9%
Upside Weeks
25
Downside Weeks
27
Downside Breadth
51.9%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.0% / -4.1%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
AMS
Country
NL
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
35.8B

Opportunity signals

  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 17.76 EUR -2.1% 19.67 EUR 23.25 EUR 0.73 -27.16 23.1M Off
5 Jun 2026 18.15 EUR -6.9% 19.81 EUR 23.26 EUR 0.75 -23.55 16.7M Off
29 May 2026 19.50 EUR -4.6% 19.94 EUR 23.26 EUR 0.78 -18.16 17.1M Off
22 May 2026 20.44 EUR 0.9% 20.06 EUR 23.25 EUR 0.60 -15.81 13.8M Off
15 May 2026 20.25 EUR 3.8% 20.16 EUR 23.23 EUR 0.50 -14.43 11.6M Off
8 May 2026 19.51 EUR 11.0% 20.26 EUR 23.22 EUR 0.48 -18.70 13.0M Off
1 May 2026 17.58 EUR -10.7% 20.37 EUR 23.20 EUR 0.44 -27.09 12.1M Off
24 Apr 2026 19.67 EUR -3.3% 20.60 EUR 23.20 EUR 0.25 -19.60 10.0M Off
17 Apr 2026 20.33 EUR 6.1% 20.73 EUR 23.20 EUR -0.16 -17.69 16.5M Off
10 Apr 2026 19.16 EUR 13.6% 20.82 EUR 23.19 EUR -0.60 -21.84 28.1M Off
3 Apr 2026 16.88 EUR 10.0% 20.98 EUR 23.19 EUR -0.95 -29.22 16.2M Off
27 Mar 2026 15.35 EUR -2.4% 21.21 EUR 23.21 EUR -1.06 -35.09 15.1M Off
20 Mar 2026 15.72 EUR -12.3% 21.48 EUR 23.25 EUR -1.02 -34.21 21.8M Off
13 Mar 2026 17.92 EUR 2.0% 21.77 EUR 23.28 EUR -1.03 -28.60 16.6M Off