- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
UMG
AMS
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Universal Music Group N.V. · Communication Services · Entertainment
Latest close
15.56 EUR
6.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.6%, after a -17.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
26
out of 100
Latest Close
15.56 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-17.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-23.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -17.7%.
Indicator stack
0/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
58/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.6%, after a -17.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -17.7% over four weeks, -23.2% over 12 weeks, and -35.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-170.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.33Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-65.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 18 relevant articles.
5 positive · 10 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-21.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+6.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNL Communication Services
4-week rank6 / 6
Group average-1.3%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNL Entertainment
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average-3.8%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape27/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 18 relevant articles.
Universal Music Group N.V. (UMG.AS) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 15.56 EUR | 6.6% | 18.59 EUR | 23.12 EUR | -0.28 | -32.33 | 30.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 14.61 EUR | -21.0% | 18.80 EUR | 23.16 EUR | -0.02 | -36.56 | 24.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 18.48 EUR | 1.0% | 19.04 EUR | 23.21 EUR | 0.24 | -20.03 | 8.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 18.29 EUR | -3.3% | 19.15 EUR | 23.23 EUR | 0.34 | -21.92 | 9.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 18.91 EUR | -0.4% | 19.26 EUR | 23.24 EUR | 0.40 | -19.58 | 9.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 19.00 EUR | 3.5% | 19.35 EUR | 23.25 EUR | 0.28 | -19.91 | 1.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 18.36 EUR | -2.2% | 19.44 EUR | 23.25 EUR | 0.22 | -21.73 | 2.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 18.77 EUR | 5.7% | 19.55 EUR | 23.26 EUR | 0.35 | -22.03 | 4.7M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 17.76 EUR | -2.1% | 19.67 EUR | 23.25 EUR | 0.51 | -27.16 | 5.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 18.15 EUR | -6.9% | 19.81 EUR | 23.26 EUR | 0.67 | -23.55 | 3.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 19.50 EUR | -4.6% | 19.94 EUR | 23.26 EUR | 0.78 | -18.16 | 17.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 20.44 EUR | 0.9% | 20.06 EUR | 23.25 EUR | 0.60 | -15.81 | 13.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 20.25 EUR | 3.8% | 20.16 EUR | 23.23 EUR | 0.50 | -14.43 | 11.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 19.51 EUR | 11.0% | 20.26 EUR | 23.22 EUR | 0.48 | -18.70 | 13.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.