Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
HEL ยท Equity ยท Finland
OUT1V
Outokumpu Oyj
Basic MaterialsSteel
Outokumpu Oyj produces and sells various stainless-steel products in Finland, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, other European countries, North America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through Europe, the Americas, Ferrochrome, and Other operations segments. The company offers cold rolled coils, strips, and sheets; hot rolled coils, strips, and plates; quarto plates; precision strips; and specialized components, such as welded stainless-steel I-beams, H-beams, hollow-section tubes, bent profiles, duprof structural sections, hardened and โฆ
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Nasdaq Helsinki ยท HEL
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Steel
Currency
EUR
Market capitalisation
2,799,983,616
Fair value reference
3.77
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 62.03%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, OUT1V fell 9.79%, moving from 5.97 to 5.39. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 3.43 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.72 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.03% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
5.39
12-Week Change
-9.79%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.03%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
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Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationDeclining structure with negative but contained
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Unstable
Current structureDeclining structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 3.58 ยท Resistance 5.46
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-4.85%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterNegative but contained
Price declined, although selling did not fully control the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedMiddle of the range
The close finished at 42% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history85% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-10.8%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+231.5%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.5ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
2 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
8 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
15 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
28 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove accepted value
52-week position
71.6%
Low to high
Accepted price
3.36
Latest versus accepted: 60.58%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.78% per week
Range pressure
43/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.25ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support3.18
From price
-41.1%
Evidence
72/100
Touches
3
Support3.38
From price
-37.2%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
6
Support5.02
From price
-7.0%
Evidence
35/100
Touches
1
Current pivot5.35
From price
-0.8%
Evidence
34/100
Touches
1
Resistance5.70
From price
5.7%
Evidence
26/100
Touches
1
Resistance5.98
From price
11.0%
Evidence
41/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove accepted value
Price is at 71.6% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.78% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 43/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level5.70
Resistance is 5.7% from the latest close with 26/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSupport is under active pressure
The current Smart Money structure carries a recent reversal warning, so confirmation matters more than momentum alone.
Momentum 0.74 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 76 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathConstructive ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsElevated
A reversal danger marker appeared 3 completed weeks ago; confirmation needs close attention.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A reversal danger marker appeared 3 completed weeks ago; confirmation needs close attention.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
3 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
4 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
14 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
16 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+43.05% ยท Positive ยท Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 18% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 82% of completed observations.
State persistence48 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 67 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 61% of the time; the typical move was +4.4%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
Latest week
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
3 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
9 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
23 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
42 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
48 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyer control developing
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 80% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
63/100 pressure
ControlBuyer control developing
Pressure 63/100 and -20.5 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack4 of 6 below price
4 references converge near 5.35: Swing high, 26-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Acceptance80% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.6% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace -0.0 pts.
Stretch0.2 normal ranges above
Price is +1.5% from the core VWAP.
Persistence3 completed weeks
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Constructive VWAP test
Constructive VWAP test
Price is testing the core VWAP while the broader control reading remains constructive.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
4 references converge near 5.35: Swing high, 26-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP, Year VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation5.40
A completed close above Swing high with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area5.40
Swing high at 5.40, 0.2% above the latest close.
Weakening level5.31
A completed close below 26-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing high5.40
+0.19% from close
26-week VWAP5.31
-1.52% from close
13-week VWAP5.54
+2.86% from close
Year VWAP5.13
-4.80% from close
High-activity anchor5.06
-6.17% from close
52-week VWAP4.63
-14.02% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 82%Above price 18%
23%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท ^OMXH25Weaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -13.0 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 76/100
Sector ยท Basic MaterialsWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -17.1 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 80/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim43% favourable
Events
7
Median 4w
-1.54%
Median 13w
-0.75%
Typical best
+2.19%
Typical worst
-4.72%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss50% favourable
Events
6
Median 4w
+4.53%
Median 13w
+2.69%
Typical best
+6.76%
Typical worst
-7.84%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states14 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
71%
Median 4w
+5.16%
Positive after 13w
71%
Median 13w
+6.20%
Best / worst 13w
+32.5% / -13.0%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is mixed and losing ground
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.58 ยท Mixed
Current stateMixed ยท 0.58
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
1 completed week in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.58 ยท Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 19 comparable completed observations, 47.4% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +0.0%.
Comparable observations
19
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
47.4%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+0.0%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-9.6 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
5.39
12-Week Change
-9.79%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.03%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
3.43
Market Dynamics
-0.72
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, OUT1V fell 9.79%, moving from 5.97 to 5.39. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 3.43 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.72 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.03% based on similar historical setup states.
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