ALFEN AMS Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alfen N.V. · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 12.70 EUR
2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -4.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 12.70 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.4% latest completed week
4W Return -4.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.66% based on similar historical setup states.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.7%. Indicator stack 61/24 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.66% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -4.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7112-week average 0.73

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.7% over four weeks, -6.6% over 12 weeks, and 8.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.4%
4W-4.7%
12W-6.6%
26W15.2%
52W8.5%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-212.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-85.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

3 positive · 15 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.1%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol10.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.5% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryNL Electrical Equipment & Parts
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-6.3%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

ALFEN · AMS-4.7%LIGHT · AMS-7.9%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape38/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis79/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.71; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.66%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.66% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

Alfen (ENXTAM:ALFEN) Stock Sees Fair Value Lift As Smart Grid Growth Lifts Estimates Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202612.70 EUR2.4%12.05 EUR21.61 EUR-0.501.25606.5KOn
31 Jul 202612.40 EUR-3.9%11.98 EUR21.92 EUR-0.33-0.33726.9KOn
24 Jul 202612.90 EUR-2.7%11.93 EUR22.23 EUR-0.064.39564.3KOn
17 Jul 202613.26 EUR-0.5%11.84 EUR22.54 EUR0.216.95843.0KOn
10 Jul 202613.33 EUR-9.1%11.74 EUR22.84 EUR0.458.33900.1KOn
3 Jul 202614.67 EUR-2.9%11.63 EUR23.11 EUR0.6119.49196.2KOn
26 Jun 202615.11 EUR-4.6%11.49 EUR23.39 EUR0.7526.11168.6KOn
19 Jun 202615.84 EUR8.4%11.34 EUR23.69 EUR1.0630.66176.5KOn
12 Jun 202614.61 EUR-6.7%11.13 EUR23.98 EUR1.3420.94339.8KOn
5 Jun 202615.66 EUR-6.3%10.97 EUR24.32 EUR1.6035.05191.0KOn
29 May 202616.71 EUR-5.6%10.78 EUR24.62 EUR1.6545.843.1MOn
22 May 202617.70 EUR30.1%10.55 EUR24.94 EUR1.3853.994.1MOn
15 May 202613.60 EUR10.0%10.30 EUR25.24 EUR1.2223.473.6MOn
8 May 202612.36 EUR4.0%10.17 EUR25.59 EUR0.8411.851.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context