ASX Equity Snapshot

COL Weekly Report

Coles Group Limited

Interactive chart JSON snapshot Download PDF
Latest week 26 Jun 2026
Exchange ASX
Country AU
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Neutral

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 59 Neutral
Executive Read

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 11/12.

The main constraint is svqf: Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important.

Support

Primary driver

Indicator analysis 73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Restraint

Main constraint

SVQF 37/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Company Brief

What the company does

Coles Group Limited operates as a retailer in Australia. It operates through Supermarkets and Liquor segments. The company operates various supermarkets, which offers fresh food, groceries, general merchandise, and liquor; and coles.com.au, which offers a choice of home delivery, including same-day, overnight drop and go services, and pick up from click and collect locations. Its Coles Financial Services provides insurance, credit cards, and personal loans to Australian families. The company is also involved in the retailing of liquor through its various stores under the Liquorland, First Choice Liquor Market, and Vintage Cellars brand names, as …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

COL closed the latest completed week at 24.41 AUD. The 4-week return is 12.4% and the 12-week return is 7.9%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.87. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 71/100 composite read.

Latest close 24.41 AUD
Latest week 3.2%
Four-week move 12.4%
Composite read 71/100
Trend backdrop Active
Activity pressure No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 12.5%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, activity pressure, relative leadership, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 66 Persistence of the active trend backdrop over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 86 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Activity Pressure 100 Latest activity pressure and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Leadership 100 Relative leadership and short-term leadership change.
Next-Week Expectancy 50 Historical one-week follow-through read for the latest completed-week setup state.
Volume 30 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Smart Money 47 Activity pressure and recent smart-money signal balance.
Risk Control 87 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend backdrop dot Positive activity-pressure dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
19.46 AUD 100.0% 24.41 AUD
Range location 100.0% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance 12.5% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap 33.0% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap 0.0% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

Latest close 24.41 AUD
Trend breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
1W 3.2%
4W 12.4%
12W 7.9%
26W 16.9%
52W 21.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
9 weeks
52W Active Weeks
33
52W Active Breadth
63.5%
Sector Scope
AU Consumer Defensive
Sector Rank
15 of 60
Sector Percentile
76.3%
15 of 60
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

AU Grocery Stores

Tracked Peers
2
4W Rank
1 of 2
Avg 1W
1.0%
Avg 4W
11.9%
Trend Breadth
100.0%
Positive RS
100.0%
Trend 100.0% active weekly trend signals
MD 100.0% positive activity pressure
RS 100.0% positive relative leadership
COL in group 12.4% 4-week rank 1 of 2
COL · ASX 12.4% WOW · ASX 11.5%
Activity Pressure

Pressure, relative leadership, and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure and relative leadership show whether buying pressure and group strength are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Activity pressure Relative leadership

Pressure map

Activity pressure
Relative leadership
Pressure 0.87 Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change 4618.3% Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership 13.02 Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change 748.5% Four-week change in relative leadership.
Next-week expectancy Undecided 53.81% historical one-week setup read.
Indicator Analysis

Smart money, activity pressure, trend signals, and next-week expectancy

Recent confirmation shows whether the latest setup is supported by activity pressure, trend quality, relative leadership, and the short-term historical expectancy read.

Activity pressure path

Activity pressure Latest 0.70 12W avg 0.52

Next-week expectancy over time

Positive / negative next-week read Current Undecided 53.81%

12-week confirmation

Trend active 9/12 Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure 10/12 Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership 11/12 Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure 0.70 Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals 0 Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers 1 1 reversal markers

Smart money activity

Support markers
0
Risk markers
1
Pressure positive weeks
7
Score input
38/100

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 0.7x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 15.3M 13-week average volume.
One-year base 13.9M 52-week average volume.
Latest 11.1M Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 2
Modest gains 14
Flat weeks 0
Modest losses 8
Sharp losses 2
Recent vol 3.4% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 3.1% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 26/26 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 2.4% / -1.6% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Sentiment
49/100
Articles
26 relevant

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts
Evidence Matrix

Scorecard by research pillar

Weekly tape 70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis 73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.70; 1 reversal markers Factors 57/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 10 SVQF 37/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 205.0 of 323 Patient Capital Quiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment 49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

Could the Telstra Outage Put Coles (ASX:COL), Woolworths (ASX:WOW) and Aurizon (ASX:AZJ) Under Fresh Pressure? Insiders 50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings 50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
ASX
Country
AU
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Grocery Stores
Currency
AUD
Market Cap
29.2B

Opportunity signals

  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.

Risk signals

  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

Watch next

  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value Pressure Leadership Volume Signal
26 Jun 2026 24.41 AUD 3.2% 21.69 AUD 18.35 AUD 0.87 13.02 11.1M On
19 Jun 2026 23.66 AUD -1.5% 21.61 AUD 18.30 AUD 0.62 8.91 18.7M On
12 Jun 2026 24.01 AUD 8.1% 21.55 AUD 18.25 AUD 0.25 11.04 16.3M On
5 Jun 2026 22.21 AUD 2.3% 21.48 AUD 18.20 AUD -0.09 5.02 12.3M On
29 May 2026 21.72 AUD 1.2% 21.47 AUD 18.16 AUD -0.02 1.53 17.7M On
22 May 2026 21.47 AUD 3.2% 21.47 AUD 18.12 AUD 0.25 1.24 11.9M On
15 May 2026 20.81 AUD -3.8% 21.50 AUD 18.09 AUD 0.59 -1.60 15.6M On
8 May 2026 21.63 AUD -5.6% 21.56 AUD 18.06 AUD 0.92 0.89 17.8M On
1 May 2026 22.92 AUD -0.6% 21.60 AUD 18.03 AUD 1.00 6.95 16.3M On
24 Apr 2026 23.06 AUD 2.3% 21.59 AUD 17.98 AUD 1.00 6.95 14.5M Off
17 Apr 2026 22.54 AUD 0.6% 21.58 AUD 17.94 AUD 0.96 2.70 17.2M Off
10 Apr 2026 22.40 AUD -1.0% 21.60 AUD 17.90 AUD 0.88 1.82 11.6M Off
3 Apr 2026 22.62 AUD 3.0% 21.64 AUD 17.86 AUD 0.62 7.26 17.4M Off
27 Mar 2026 21.96 AUD 1.7% 21.67 AUD 17.82 AUD 0.33 4.88 20.0M Off

Evidence rating

The evidence rating is the top-level Sharemaestro read. It blends market structure, trend evidence, activity pressure, value and quality context, options pressure, news tone, events, and research flow into a single directional summary.

Positive means the evidence stack is supportive. Neutral means the evidence is mixed or still forming. Caution or negative means the balance of evidence is less supportive and risk control matters more.

Weekly tape

The weekly tape is a completed-week view. It focuses on whether price, trend, activity, relative leadership, volume, and risk are confirming each other rather than reacting to a single noisy session.

Evidence scorecard

The scorecard separates the report into research pillars. A high score is supportive, a low score is restrictive, and neutral means that pillar is either balanced or not yet carrying enough evidence.

The purpose is not to force a trade call. It shows which parts of the evidence stack are helping, which parts are restraining, and where to drill down.

Setup cockpit

The cockpit compresses the broad setup into a radar and scoreboard. It is designed to show whether the current move has breadth across trend, activity, leadership, participation, and risk control.

Price context

Price context asks whether the stock is moving with or against its weekly structure. The Trend Line is the directional backdrop, Fair Value is the current valuation reference point, and the range map shows where price sits inside its recent trading range.

Pressure and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure looks for evidence that participation is supporting the move. Relative leadership compares the stock against its market backdrop. Next-week expectancy is a historical one-week follow-through read for similar setup states; it is not a broad trend call.

Indicator analysis

This section looks at whether the latest move is supported by the internal Sharemaestro indicator stack. The emphasis is on confirmation, persistence, and risk markers, not a single isolated reading.

Options pressure

Options pressure shows whether the options market is leaning bullish, bearish, mixed, or volatility-focused. It is supporting evidence only: options can confirm a setup, reveal disagreement, or highlight event risk.

Options involve substantial risk and can lose value rapidly. This report is educational market research, not investment or trading advice.