- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
MBMA
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. · Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining
Latest close
550.0 IDR
8.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 11.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
550.0 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
8.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.3%.
Indicator stack
40/47
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 11.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.3% over four weeks, -6.0% over 12 weeks, and 27.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change61.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-41.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.9%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-17.6%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+8.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks2
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.1% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Basic Materials
4-week rank41 / 83
Group average17.1%
Trend breadth14.5%
Trend14.5%active weekly trend signals
MD48.2%positive activity pressure
RS63.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Other Precious Metals & Mining
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average18.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis28/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk Revenue Breakdown – IDX:MBMA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 550.0 IDR | 8.9% | 628.4 IDR | 559.8 IDR | -0.44 | 8.34 | 719.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 505.0 IDR | 0.0% | 631.7 IDR | 561.1 IDR | -0.77 | 2.96 | 327.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 505.0 IDR | -1.9% | 635.5 IDR | 562.7 IDR | -0.91 | 3.96 | 523.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 515.0 IDR | 4.3% | 636.9 IDR | 564.3 IDR | -1.07 | 6.77 | 312.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 494.0 IDR | -5.0% | 637.4 IDR | 566.0 IDR | -1.12 | 6.98 | 296.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 520.0 IDR | 4.8% | 638.7 IDR | 568.0 IDR | -1.24 | 13.83 | 74.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 496.0 IDR | -8.1% | 639.2 IDR | 570.0 IDR | -1.44 | 8.75 | 99.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 540.0 IDR | 12.0% | 640.9 IDR | 572.1 IDR | -1.51 | 13.75 | 257.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 482.0 IDR | 11.1% | 641.5 IDR | 573.6 IDR | -1.50 | 5.12 | 202.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 434.0 IDR | -9.2% | 646.6 IDR | 575.3 IDR | -1.43 | 2.07 | 186.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 478.0 IDR | -0.8% | 653.7 IDR | 577.5 IDR | -1.30 | 3.02 | 710.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 482.0 IDR | -17.6% | 658.7 IDR | 579.4 IDR | -1.19 | 4.03 | 2.5B | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 585.0 IDR | 0.9% | 662.2 IDR | 581.2 IDR | -1.20 | 16.56 | 414.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 580.0 IDR | -14.1% | 661.0 IDR | 582.6 IDR | -1.00 | 12.55 | 846.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.