EBS Equity Snapshot

UHR Weekly Equity Report

The Swatch Group AG

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 209.3 CHF 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 3.0% latest completed week
4W Return 4.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 27.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components in Switzerland, rest of Europe, Greater China, Asia, America, Oceania, and Africa. The company operates through Watches & Jewelry and Electronic Systems segments. The Watches & Jewelry segment designs, produces, and commercializes watches and jewelry. The Electronic Systems segment engages in the design, production, and commercialization of electronic components, as well as sports timing activities. The company is also involved in the provision of assembly, research and development, administration, logistics and distribution, and customer services; and hard material components, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

UHR closed the latest completed week at 209.3 CHF. The 4-week return is 4.1% and the 12-week return is 27.5%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.81. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 79/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 16.7%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 85 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 84 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 100 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 38 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 64 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
179.4 CHF
Vs Trend Line
16.7%
Fair Value
176.2 CHF
Vs Fair Value
18.8%
52W High
223.1 CHF
52W Low
124.2 CHF
Drawdown
-6.2%
Range Position
86.0%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 3.0%
4W 4.1%
12W 27.5%
26W 30.4%
52W 59.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
38 weeks
52W Active Weeks
38
52W Active Breadth
73.1%
Sector Scope
CH Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
6 of 14
Sector Percentile
61.5%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.81
4W MD Change
706.7%
Relative Strength
18.13
4W RS Change
-12.8%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
51.04%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
434.8K
13W Average
477.3K
52W Average
606.5K
Vs 13W
0.9x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
5.7%
52W Volatility
5.1%
Upside Weeks
29
Downside Weeks
23
Downside Breadth
44.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
4.2% / -2.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
EBS
Country
CH
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Luxury Goods
Currency
CHF
Market Cap
11.2B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 38-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 209.3 CHF 3.0% 179.4 CHF 176.2 CHF 0.81 18.13 434.8K On
5 Jun 2026 203.3 CHF -6.0% 178.1 CHF 176.4 CHF 0.68 18.27 424.9K On
29 May 2026 216.2 CHF 8.3% 176.7 CHF 176.7 CHF 0.77 25.15 472.2K On
22 May 2026 199.7 CHF -0.7% 175.0 CHF 176.9 CHF 0.34 16.79 509.2K On
15 May 2026 201.1 CHF -2.3% 174.0 CHF 177.3 CHF 0.10 20.79 709.9K On
8 May 2026 205.9 CHF 16.5% 173.0 CHF 177.7 CHF -0.08 25.55 723.6K On
1 May 2026 176.7 CHF -0.4% 171.2 CHF 178.1 CHF -0.41 8.26 232.8K On
24 Apr 2026 177.5 CHF -4.3% 170.3 CHF 178.7 CHF -0.45 8.88 343.7K On
17 Apr 2026 185.4 CHF 1.1% 169.2 CHF 179.3 CHF -0.53 11.93 528.6K On
10 Apr 2026 183.4 CHF 6.3% 168.0 CHF 179.8 CHF -0.65 13.25 306.0K On
3 Apr 2026 172.5 CHF 3.4% 166.7 CHF 180.3 CHF -0.65 8.66 357.3K On
27 Mar 2026 166.8 CHF 1.6% 165.8 CHF 180.9 CHF -0.42 8.94 428.1K On
20 Mar 2026 164.2 CHF -1.2% 165.0 CHF 181.6 CHF 0.18 9.71 733.6K On
13 Mar 2026 166.3 CHF -0.5% 164.2 CHF 182.3 CHF 0.59 6.89 575.6K On