EBS Equity Snapshot

UHRN Weekly Equity Report

The Swatch Group AG

Latest Close 41.35 CHF 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 2.7% latest completed week
4W Return 4.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 25.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 69.2% 36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components in Switzerland, rest of Europe, Greater China, Asia, America, Oceania, and Africa. The company operates through Watches & Jewelry and Electronic Systems segments. The Watches & Jewelry segment designs, produces, and commercializes watches and jewelry. The Electronic Systems segment engages in the design, production, and commercialization of electronic components, as well as sports timing activities. The company is also involved in the provision of assembly, research and development, administration, logistics and distribution, and customer services; and hard material components, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

UHRN closed the latest completed week at 41.35 CHF. The 4-week return is 4.6% and the 12-week return is 25.5%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.87. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 74/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 15.3%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 73 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 83 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 95 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 97 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 31 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 66 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
35.88 CHF
Vs Trend Line
15.3%
Fair Value
34.69 CHF
Vs Fair Value
19.2%
52W High
43.90 CHF
52W Low
25.57 CHF
Drawdown
-5.8%
Range Position
86.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 2.7%
4W 4.6%
12W 25.5%
26W 27.8%
52W 52.7%

Trend read

Active Streak
10 weeks
52W Active Weeks
36
52W Active Breadth
69.2%
Sector Scope
CH Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
7 of 14
Sector Percentile
53.8%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.87
4W MD Change
368.1%
Relative Strength
15.80
4W RS Change
-10.0%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
54.20%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
188.1K
13W Average
252.3K
52W Average
282.3K
Vs 13W
0.7x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
5.3%
52W Volatility
4.9%
Upside Weeks
31
Downside Weeks
20
Downside Breadth
38.5%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.8% / -3.4%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
EBS
Country
CH
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Luxury Goods
Currency
CHF
Market Cap
11.1B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 10-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 41.35 CHF 2.7% 35.88 CHF 34.69 CHF 0.87 15.80 188.1K On
5 Jun 2026 40.25 CHF -5.5% 35.65 CHF 34.71 CHF 0.74 16.08 210.1K On
29 May 2026 42.60 CHF 8.0% 35.40 CHF 34.75 CHF 0.82 22.16 222.9K On
22 May 2026 39.45 CHF -0.3% 35.08 CHF 34.77 CHF 0.43 14.21 295.4K On
15 May 2026 39.55 CHF -2.8% 34.92 CHF 34.82 CHF 0.19 17.55 351.5K On
8 May 2026 40.71 CHF 15.1% 34.75 CHF 34.88 CHF 0.03 22.74 430.4K On
1 May 2026 35.38 CHF -1.1% 34.42 CHF 34.94 CHF -0.30 7.14 143.7K On
24 Apr 2026 35.77 CHF -4.6% 34.26 CHF 35.03 CHF -0.40 8.45 149.8K On
17 Apr 2026 37.48 CHF 2.4% 34.05 CHF 35.12 CHF -0.56 11.84 240.8K On
10 Apr 2026 36.60 CHF 6.0% 33.80 CHF 35.20 CHF -0.71 11.74 174.5K On
3 Apr 2026 34.54 CHF 3.0% 33.57 CHF 35.28 CHF -0.87 7.48 143.8K Off
27 Mar 2026 33.52 CHF 1.7% 33.40 CHF 35.37 CHF -0.78 8.15 203.0K Off
20 Mar 2026 32.96 CHF 0.9% 33.24 CHF 35.48 CHF -0.19 8.76 525.4K On
13 Mar 2026 32.66 CHF 0.3% 33.10 CHF 35.59 CHF 0.23 3.73 234.3K On