- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
UHRN
EBS
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Swatch Group AG · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
Latest close
37.35 CHF
3.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a -7.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
37.35 CHF
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.8%.
Indicator stack
45/24
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a -7.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8112-week average 0.83
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.81Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.8% over four weeks, -5.6% over 12 weeks, and 32.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.55Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-206.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-149.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+3.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCH Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank12 / 14
Group average2.7%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD64.3%positive activity pressure
RS21.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCH Luxury Goods
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average-2.5%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis76/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 9/12.
Activity pressure 0.81; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
The Swatch Group AG (XSWX:UHRN) Share Price Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 37.35 CHF | 3.3% | 37.32 CHF | 34.30 CHF | -0.55 | -3.55 | 171.6K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 36.15 CHF | 5.7% | 37.25 CHF | 34.35 CHF | -0.25 | -5.22 | 262.8K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 34.20 CHF | -16.5% | 37.16 CHF | 34.41 CHF | -0.04 | -10.18 | 352.9K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 40.95 CHF | 1.1% | 37.15 CHF | 34.50 CHF | 0.28 | 7.21 | 125.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 40.50 CHF | 3.6% | 36.90 CHF | 34.54 CHF | 0.52 | 7.24 | 189.6K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 39.10 CHF | -2.7% | 36.62 CHF | 34.60 CHF | 0.64 | 2.56 | 43.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 40.20 CHF | -4.2% | 36.43 CHF | 34.64 CHF | 0.76 | 7.72 | 19.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 41.95 CHF | 1.5% | 36.17 CHF | 34.67 CHF | 0.92 | 16.19 | 162.7K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 41.35 CHF | 2.7% | 35.88 CHF | 34.69 CHF | 0.78 | 15.80 | 37.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 40.25 CHF | -5.5% | 35.65 CHF | 34.71 CHF | 0.70 | 16.08 | 40.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 42.60 CHF | 8.0% | 35.40 CHF | 34.75 CHF | 0.82 | 22.16 | 222.9K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 39.45 CHF | -0.3% | 35.08 CHF | 34.77 CHF | 0.43 | 14.21 | 295.4K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 39.55 CHF | -2.8% | 34.92 CHF | 34.82 CHF | 0.19 | 17.55 | 351.5K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 40.71 CHF | 15.1% | 34.75 CHF | 34.88 CHF | 0.03 | 22.74 | 430.4K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.