- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
4538
TWO
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
WINSON Machinery Co., LTD. · Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Latest close
17.50 TWD
0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -5.4% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
17.50 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.4%.
Indicator stack
30/9
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -5.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8012-week average 0.75
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.4% over four weeks, 0.8% over 12 weeks, and 3.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-293.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-27.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.7%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.4% / -1.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth55.0%
Trend55.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Metal Fabrication
4-week rank23 / 30
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD36.7%positive activity pressure
RS3.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis56/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 17.50 TWD | 0.6% | 17.74 TWD | 17.52 TWD | -1.00 | -27.41 | 114.2K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 17.40 TWD | 0.3% | 17.69 TWD | 17.53 TWD | -0.69 | -26.12 | 84.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 17.35 TWD | -0.3% | 17.65 TWD | 17.54 TWD | -0.35 | -25.36 | 64.0K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 17.40 TWD | -5.9% | 17.60 TWD | 17.55 TWD | 0.06 | -26.94 | 110.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 18.50 TWD | -0.5% | 17.55 TWD | 17.57 TWD | 0.52 | -21.46 | 77.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 18.60 TWD | -0.5% | 17.47 TWD | 17.58 TWD | 0.67 | -26.55 | 38.0K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 18.70 TWD | -1.1% | 17.38 TWD | 17.61 TWD | 0.77 | -29.23 | 153.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 18.90 TWD | 0.3% | 17.29 TWD | 17.63 TWD | 0.76 | -25.78 | 270.1K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 18.85 TWD | 1.6% | 17.19 TWD | 17.67 TWD | 0.53 | -29.78 | 296.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 18.55 TWD | 0.3% | 17.11 TWD | 17.66 TWD | 0.18 | -28.15 | 345.5K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 18.50 TWD | 5.7% | 17.03 TWD | 17.65 TWD | -0.05 | -30.56 | 333.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 17.50 TWD | 0.8% | 16.96 TWD | 17.65 TWD | -0.22 | -34.61 | 397.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 17.37 TWD | 0.3% | 16.93 TWD | 17.65 TWD | -0.29 | -32.17 | 111.1K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 17.32 TWD | -0.5% | 16.91 TWD | 17.64 TWD | -0.12 | -31.37 | 158.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.