- The trend backdrop is active with a 60-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
NKSH
NASDAQ
Week ended 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
National Bankshares Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
42.84 USD
1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 37d.
Setup score
69
out of 100
Latest Close
42.84 USD
11 Sep 2026
1W Return
1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
21.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- 18 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.0%.
Indicator stack
100/71
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
37d
Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9112-week average 0.72
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1818 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 18 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.0% over four weeks, 21.4% over 12 weeks, and 49.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 60 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak60 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.12Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 97%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength89/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Value72/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 13.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 63.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 17.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 24.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -13.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 80.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 81.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity10 / 0
10 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
1 positive · 5 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings37dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
11 Sep
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 11 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-1.1%
Trend breadth83.0%
Trend83.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS47.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Banks - Regional
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.0%
Trend breadth81.0%
Trend81.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape71/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis70/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.91; 18 reversal markers Factors79/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 60; Small Cap Core rank 37 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
National Bankshares (NKSH) is on the Move, Here's Why the Trend Could be Sustainable Insiders10 / 010 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings37dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 42.84 USD | 1.8% | 37.30 USD | 29.13 USD | 1.12 | 12.00 | 181.7K | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 42.07 USD | 2.8% | 37.11 USD | 29.01 USD | 1.19 | 9.79 | 180.1K | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 40.94 USD | -0.5% | 36.98 USD | 28.88 USD | 1.27 | 7.48 | 161.8K | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 41.15 USD | -3.0% | 36.81 USD | 28.76 USD | 1.29 | 8.66 | 169.4K | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 42.41 USD | 0.7% | 36.61 USD | 28.64 USD | 0.97 | 9.55 | 291.9K | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 42.11 USD | 3.7% | 36.32 USD | 28.51 USD | 0.54 | 10.43 | 243.6K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 40.60 USD | 10.8% | 36.02 USD | 28.40 USD | 0.04 | 12.31 | 176.9K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 36.64 USD | 0.1% | 35.74 USD | 28.31 USD | -0.31 | 2.36 | 135.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 36.59 USD | 1.9% | 35.63 USD | 28.24 USD | -0.21 | 0.77 | 192.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 35.92 USD | -1.7% | 35.54 USD | 28.17 USD | -0.40 | -5.04 | 117.0K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 36.55 USD | -2.9% | 35.43 USD | 28.10 USD | -0.38 | -1.67 | 97.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 37.66 USD | 6.7% | 35.19 USD | 28.03 USD | -0.58 | 2.19 | 222.6K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 35.30 USD | -2.8% | 34.90 USD | 27.95 USD | -0.92 | -8.32 | 127.2K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 36.33 USD | 4.4% | 34.68 USD | 27.89 USD | -0.97 | -3.06 | 127.5K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.