FCX MEX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. · Basic Materials · Copper

Latest close 1,198 MXN
9.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.6%, after a 11.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 1,198 MXN 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 9.6% latest completed week
4W Return 11.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.6%, after a 11.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5812-week average 0.67

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.58Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.5% over four weeks, 9.2% over 12 weeks, and 54.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W9.6%
4W11.5%
12W9.2%
26W14.5%
52W54.2%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-102.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.73Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change90.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

5 positive · 19 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+9.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Copper
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average2.9%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,198 MXN9.6%1,087 MXN839.8 MXN-0.6521.731.4KOn
31 Jul 20261,093 MXN-0.3%1,081 MXN836.6 MXN-0.9311.72657Off
24 Jul 20261,096 MXN6.4%1,075 MXN834.0 MXN-0.9913.41833Off
17 Jul 20261,030 MXN-4.1%1,070 MXN831.6 MXN-0.766.471.9KOff
10 Jul 20261,074 MXN2.1%1,065 MXN829.6 MXN-0.3211.383.4KOn
3 Jul 20261,053 MXN-2.6%1,058 MXN827.1 MXN-0.068.340On
26 Jun 20261,081 MXN-11.1%1,050 MXN824.6 MXN0.0311.0923.2KOn
19 Jun 20261,216 MXN2.7%1,040 MXN822.1 MXN-0.0524.270On
12 Jun 20261,183 MXN6.6%1,024 MXN818.5 MXN-0.3121.17394On
5 Jun 20261,110 MXN-2.2%1,009 MXN815.3 MXN-0.4617.38427On
29 May 20261,135 MXN5.0%996.4 MXN812.4 MXN-0.4416.161.5KOn
22 May 20261,081 MXN-1.5%984.4 MXN809.3 MXN-0.5011.60743On
15 May 20261,097 MXN4.0%973.8 MXN806.3 MXN-0.4414.382.9KOn
8 May 20261,055 MXN4.2%962.3 MXN803.3 MXN-0.217.462.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context