GOAU3 SAO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 10.04 BRL
2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 9.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 77 out of 100
Latest Close 10.04 BRL 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.4% latest completed week
4W Return 9.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 92.3% 48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a 9.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.69

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.1% over four weeks, 6.6% over 12 weeks, and 52.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.4%
4W9.1%
12W6.6%
26W7.0%
52W52.4%
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change204.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change360.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.

1 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202610.04 BRL2.4%9.09 BRL7.54 BRL0.2715.13517.1KOn
31 Jul 20269.80 BRL2.2%9.05 BRL7.52 BRL0.049.32181.3KOn
24 Jul 20269.59 BRL2.0%9.01 BRL7.51 BRL-0.229.64146.6KOn
17 Jul 20269.40 BRL2.2%8.98 BRL7.50 BRL-0.347.83106.3KOn
10 Jul 20269.20 BRL5.9%8.95 BRL7.49 BRL-0.263.29187.9KOn
3 Jul 20268.69 BRL1.4%8.90 BRL7.48 BRL-0.13-0.3324.4KOn
26 Jun 20268.57 BRL-6.2%8.86 BRL7.47 BRL0.01-1.0792.4KOn
19 Jun 20269.14 BRL-4.7%8.84 BRL7.46 BRL0.118.5841.8KOn
12 Jun 20269.59 BRL5.0%8.79 BRL7.45 BRL0.1412.4660.8KOn
5 Jun 20269.13 BRL-0.4%8.73 BRL7.43 BRL-0.008.7222.6KOn
29 May 20269.17 BRL-5.3%8.69 BRL7.42 BRL0.156.41184.4KOn
22 May 20269.68 BRL2.8%8.65 BRL7.41 BRL0.0111.12118.6KOn
15 May 20269.42 BRL-2.3%8.59 BRL7.39 BRL-0.267.87153.5KOn
8 May 20269.64 BRL2.4%8.52 BRL7.37 BRL-0.386.60423.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context