Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
CURRENCIES ยท Currency ยท United States
USD/CAD
CurrenciesForeign Exchange
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Currencies ยท CURRENCIES
Sector
Currencies
Industry
Foreign Exchange
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
1.38
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 55.60%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, USD/CAD fell 1.03%, moving from 1.39 to 1.38. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 10 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -0.52 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.51 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.60% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
1.38
12-Week Change
-1.03%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.60%
Signal Weeks
10 of 12
+
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationFresh downside break with weak close
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure. Price is below its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is rising.
Full context ยท Developing
Current structureFresh downside break
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
Trend relationshipBelow trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 1.37 ยท Resistance 1.38
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceActivity proxyTypical activity proxyPublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-1.18%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 17% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history70% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-5.1%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+14.1%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical2.1ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
Latest week
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
8 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
12 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
29 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
34 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
38.5%
Low to high
Accepted price
1.37
Latest versus accepted: 0.62%
Fitted direction
Sideways
0.01% per week
Range pressure
34/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.17ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support1.36
From price
-1.5%
Evidence
68/100
Touches
7
Current pivot1.38
From price
-0.1%
Evidence
97/100
Touches
12
Resistance1.39
From price
1.2%
Evidence
79/100
Touches
7
Resistance1.41
From price
2.7%
Evidence
61/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 38.5% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving +0.01% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 34/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level1.39
Resistance is 1.2% from the latest close with 79/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
The visible Smart Money evidence is aligned and its completed-week momentum path is improving.
Momentum 0.49 ยท Improving
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 10 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathBalanced ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
Latest week
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
3 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
4 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readMarket pressure is weakening from a balanced position
Price pressure is close to its central market position. Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
-0.32% ยท Balanced ยท Weakening
Market positionBalanced
Price pressure is close to its central market position.
Pressure directionWeakening
Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityMixed
Recent pressure is moving unevenly and needs further confirmation.
Risks and warningsWeakness remains active
Negative pressure is established and has not yet begun to repair.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
Negative pressure is established and has not yet begun to repair.
What to watch next
The latest path is weakening with mixed trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 30% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 70% of completed observations.
State persistence2 completed weeks
The current balanced state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 41 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 66% of the time; the typical move was +0.4%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
Latest week
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
5 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
13 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
18 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
21 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
29 weeks ago
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is constructive and strengthening
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.68 ยท Constructive
Current stateConstructive ยท 0.68
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
5 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.68 ยท Constructive
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 46 comparable completed observations, 32.6% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -1.2%.
Comparable observations
46
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
32.6%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-1.2%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-20.1 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
1.38
12-Week Change
-1.03%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.60%
Signal Weeks
10 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-0.52
Market Dynamics
0.51
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, USD/CAD fell 1.03%, moving from 1.39 to 1.38. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 10 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -0.52 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.51 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.60% based on similar historical setup states.
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