Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
CURRENCIES ยท Currency ยท United States
EUR/NZD
CurrenciesForeign Exchange
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Currencies ยท CURRENCIES
Sector
Currencies
Industry
Foreign Exchange
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
1.88
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 58.42%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, EUR/NZD fell 1.20%, moving from 1.98 to 1.95. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -1.92 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.70 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.42% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
1.95
12-Week Change
-1.20%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.42%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationDeclining structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Developing
Current structureDeclining structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 1.94 ยท Resistance 1.96
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceActivity proxyTypical activity proxyPublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-0.81%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 12% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history78% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-5.3%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+23.8%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.2ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
Latest week
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
6 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
12 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
20 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
44 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
8.5%
Low to high
Accepted price
1.97
Latest versus accepted: -0.56%
Fitted direction
Sideways
-0.06% per week
Range pressure
27/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.88ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support1.88
From price
-3.7%
Evidence
31/100
Touches
2
Support1.92
From price
-1.7%
Evidence
72/100
Touches
4
Resistance1.96
From price
0.4%
Evidence
95/100
Touches
9
Resistance1.98
From price
1.4%
Evidence
89/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 8.5% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving -0.06% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 27/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level1.92
Support is 1.7% from the latest close with 72/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.29 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 30 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathSoft ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsWarning
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A demand warning appeared this week; watch whether support stabilises or weakens further.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
Latest week
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
1 week ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
2 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
3 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
4 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure remains established, but is cooling
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+3.84% ยท Positive ยท Cooling
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Renewed upward pressure without further loss of path quality would restore confidence.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 47% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 53% of completed observations.
State persistence179 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 107 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 57% of the time; the typical move was +0.3%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
Latest week
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
6 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
17 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
24 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
31 weeks ago
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
37 weeks ago
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.19 ยท Weak
Current stateWeak ยท 0.19
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
8 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.19 ยท Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 16 comparable completed observations, 62.5% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +1.6%.
Comparable observations
16
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
62.5%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+1.6%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+4.9 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
1.95
12-Week Change
-1.20%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.42%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-1.92
Market Dynamics
-0.70
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, EUR/NZD fell 1.20%, moving from 1.98 to 1.95. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -1.92 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.70 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.42% based on similar historical setup states.
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