LSE Equity Snapshot

PAG Weekly Equity Report

Paragon Banking Group PLC

Latest Close 759.5 GBP 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 2.1% latest completed week
4W Return 3.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Paragon Banking Group PLC provides financial products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates in two segments, Mortgage Lending and Commercial Lending. The Mortgage Lending segment offers buy-to-let mortgages, and owner-occupied first and second charge lending. The Commercial Lending segment comprises equipment leasing, development finance, structured lending, and other offerings for SME customers, as well as motor finance business. This segment also provides hire purchase, business loans, and operating and finance leasing. In addition, it offers a range of savings products; and deposits taking, residential mortgages, loan and vehicle finance, surveyors and property consulting, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

PAG closed the latest completed week at 759.5 GBP. The 4-week return is 3.6% and the 12-week return is 0.2%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.11. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 32/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -5.9%
Volume 0.6x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 16 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 58 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 55 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 4 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 23 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 36 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
807.5 GBP
Vs Trend Line
-5.9%
Fair Value
737.2 GBP
Vs Fair Value
3.0%
52W High
980.7 GBP
52W Low
681.5 GBP
Drawdown
-22.6%
Range Position
26.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 2.1%
4W 3.6%
12W 0.2%
26W -10.2%
52W -14.5%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
15
52W Active Breadth
28.8%
Sector Scope
GB Financial Services
Sector Rank
68 of 209
Sector Percentile
67.8%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.11
4W MD Change
85.3%
Relative Strength
-15.85
4W RS Change
15.3%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
49.49%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
1.2M
13W Average
2.2M
52W Average
2.1M
Vs 13W
0.6x
Vs 52W
0.6x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
3.6%
52W Volatility
3.4%
Upside Weeks
23
Downside Weeks
29
Downside Breadth
55.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.8% / -2.7%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
LSE
Country
GB
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Mortgage Finance
Currency
GBP
Market Cap
1.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 759.5 GBP 2.1% 807.5 GBP 737.2 GBP -0.11 -15.85 1.2M Off
5 Jun 2026 744.0 GBP -2.9% 809.4 GBP 736.0 GBP -0.30 -17.26 3.2M Off
29 May 2026 766.5 GBP 2.6% 811.1 GBP 734.8 GBP -0.40 -15.63 1.5M Off
22 May 2026 747.0 GBP 1.9% 813.2 GBP 733.1 GBP -0.57 -18.75 3.5M Off
15 May 2026 733.0 GBP -1.7% 816.8 GBP 731.4 GBP -0.76 -18.72 2.2M Off
8 May 2026 746.0 GBP -0.3% 819.9 GBP 729.9 GBP -0.76 -18.17 4.1M Off
1 May 2026 748.0 GBP -2.2% 823.3 GBP 728.4 GBP -0.92 -19.52 1.4M Off
24 Apr 2026 764.5 GBP -5.6% 826.9 GBP 726.7 GBP -0.97 -18.35 1.7M Off
17 Apr 2026 810.0 GBP 3.6% 830.0 GBP 725.0 GBP -1.05 -16.26 1.6M Off
10 Apr 2026 781.5 GBP 6.3% 832.1 GBP 723.0 GBP -1.13 -19.05 1.4M Off
3 Apr 2026 735.0 GBP 3.3% 835.4 GBP 721.2 GBP -1.08 -22.94 1.6M Off
27 Mar 2026 711.5 GBP -6.1% 839.7 GBP 719.7 GBP -1.02 -22.14 2.0M Off
20 Mar 2026 758.0 GBP -1.6% 844.9 GBP 718.5 GBP -0.63 -16.95 2.6M Off
13 Mar 2026 770.0 GBP -1.0% 850.5 GBP 717.0 GBP -0.28 -18.65 2.4M Off