- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
XPBR31
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
XP Inc. · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
83.19 BRL
-3.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a -3.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
83.19 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
32.7%
17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.2%.
Indicator stack
18/49
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a -3.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0912-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.2% over four weeks, -5.1% over 12 weeks, and -11.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change66.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change12.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.9%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-3.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Financial Services
4-week rank73 / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Capital Markets
4-week rank5 / 10
Group average-5.0%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
XP Inc. (XP) CFO discloses 131 Class A shares via Form 3 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 83.19 BRL | -3.9% | 93.02 BRL | 96.52 BRL | -0.33 | -14.83 | 2.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 86.56 BRL | 1.0% | 93.33 BRL | 96.70 BRL | -0.40 | -14.71 | 1.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 85.72 BRL | 0.4% | 93.38 BRL | 96.88 BRL | -0.61 | -14.16 | 2.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 85.40 BRL | -0.7% | 93.57 BRL | 97.05 BRL | -0.79 | -14.86 | 2.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 85.98 BRL | 1.2% | 93.70 BRL | 97.22 BRL | -1.01 | -16.89 | 4.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 85.00 BRL | 2.5% | 94.00 BRL | 97.30 BRL | -1.31 | -16.83 | 122.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 82.92 BRL | 4.3% | 94.39 BRL | 97.41 BRL | -1.47 | -19.08 | 547.5K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 79.49 BRL | -2.2% | 95.05 BRL | 97.52 BRL | -1.54 | -21.04 | 867.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 81.26 BRL | 3.5% | 95.49 BRL | 97.65 BRL | -1.37 | -21.25 | 864.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 78.49 BRL | -5.7% | 96.06 BRL | 97.74 BRL | -1.24 | -23.73 | 395.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 83.22 BRL | -0.9% | 96.70 BRL | 97.81 BRL | -1.12 | -22.18 | 2.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 83.97 BRL | -4.2% | 97.13 BRL | 97.81 BRL | -1.03 | -23.34 | 7.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 87.69 BRL | -5.5% | 97.47 BRL | 97.81 BRL | -1.01 | -21.12 | 4.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 92.80 BRL | -0.3% | 97.50 BRL | 97.74 BRL | -0.70 | -20.26 | 3.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.