- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
VGZ
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vista Gold Corp. · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
2.96 CAD
22.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.3%, after a 20.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
2.96 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
22.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
20.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.54% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
22.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 20.3%.
Indicator stack
38/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.54%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
47/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.3%, after a 20.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4412-week average 0.41
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 20.3% over four weeks, -1.0% over 12 weeks, and 108.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-537.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 61%
Model confidence 57%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength72/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Value59/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Quality61/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Momentum62/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Growth62/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -11.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -11.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
2 positive · 16 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-16.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+22.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains2
Flat weeks2
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol10.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.3% / -8.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Gold
4-week rank17 / 66
Group average14.3%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD7.6%positive activity pressure
RS37.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.44; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.54%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.54% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 92; Small Cap Core rank 45 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Vista Gold (VGZ) Q2 2026 Earnings: Net Loss of $0.02 Per Share as Mt Todd Development Advances - Full Year Guidance Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.96 CAD | 22.3% | 3.01 CAD | 1.50 CAD | -0.82 | -5.97 | 218.4K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.42 CAD | -0.8% | 3.01 CAD | 1.48 CAD | -0.95 | -20.07 | 187.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.44 CAD | 11.9% | 3.01 CAD | 1.47 CAD | -0.79 | -19.35 | 110.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.18 CAD | -11.4% | 3.03 CAD | 1.46 CAD | -0.54 | -27.39 | 156.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.46 CAD | -13.7% | 3.05 CAD | 1.45 CAD | -0.13 | -17.89 | 320.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.85 CAD | -2.1% | 3.08 CAD | 1.44 CAD | 0.06 | -4.31 | 35.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.91 CAD | -12.9% | 3.07 CAD | 1.42 CAD | -0.07 | -0.84 | 79.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.34 CAD | 2.8% | 3.07 CAD | 1.41 CAD | -0.10 | 14.70 | 110.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.25 CAD | 8.7% | 3.03 CAD | 1.39 CAD | -0.46 | 12.86 | 132.3K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.99 CAD | -9.9% | 3.01 CAD | 1.38 CAD | -0.69 | 6.43 | 82.2K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.32 CAD | 7.8% | 2.99 CAD | 1.36 CAD | -0.64 | 17.98 | 379.5K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.08 CAD | 3.0% | 2.95 CAD | 1.35 CAD | -0.89 | 11.30 | 157.4K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.99 CAD | -2.3% | 2.93 CAD | 1.33 CAD | -0.90 | 10.71 | 172.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.06 CAD | 9.7% | 2.92 CAD | 1.32 CAD | -0.90 | 13.49 | 253.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.