- The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
HNK1
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Heineken N.V. A · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers
Latest close
77.26 EUR
-1.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
77.26 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
16.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
7.7%
4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.6x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.3%.
Indicator stack
18/79
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 3.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3912-week average 0.17
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.3% over four weeks, 16.8% over 12 weeks, and -15.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change34.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.43Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength32/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Value42/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth64/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework44/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 22.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 9.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 35.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 11.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -3.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 94.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -14.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Consumer Defensive
4-week rank13 / 38
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD73.7%positive activity pressure
RS31.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Beverages - Brewers
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average3.3%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis40/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.39; No reversal markers Factors40/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 23; Small Cap Core rank 61 SVQF44/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 211.5 of 375 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Heineken NV Revenue Breakdown – DUS:HNK1 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 77.26 EUR | -1.0% | 70.96 EUR | 83.51 EUR | 1.43 | -18.43 | 4.4K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 78.08 EUR | 3.2% | 70.71 EUR | 83.56 EUR | 1.41 | -16.67 | 4.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 75.68 EUR | -0.8% | 70.41 EUR | 83.60 EUR | 1.30 | -18.77 | 2.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 76.29 EUR | 2.0% | 70.16 EUR | 83.65 EUR | 1.26 | -18.47 | 2.4K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 74.81 EUR | -1.1% | 69.93 EUR | 83.70 EUR | 1.07 | -21.91 | 1.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 75.66 EUR | 2.1% | 69.74 EUR | 83.77 EUR | 0.91 | -24.29 | 40 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 74.10 EUR | 6.0% | 69.53 EUR | 83.82 EUR | 0.56 | -23.58 | 1.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 69.90 EUR | -0.9% | 69.36 EUR | 83.89 EUR | 0.32 | -29.79 | 28 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 70.52 EUR | 5.6% | 69.38 EUR | 84.00 EUR | 0.18 | -29.20 | 173 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 66.76 EUR | -0.8% | 69.37 EUR | 84.09 EUR | -0.09 | -34.23 | 66 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 67.30 EUR | -2.3% | 70.41 EUR | 84.22 EUR | -0.09 | -35.58 | 2.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 68.90 EUR | 4.1% | 71.43 EUR | 84.35 EUR | -0.22 | -34.47 | 1.8K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 66.16 EUR | 1.0% | 72.39 EUR | 84.46 EUR | -0.25 | -35.64 | 417 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 65.50 EUR | -0.4% | 73.48 EUR | 84.60 EUR | -0.15 | -38.30 | 1.1K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.