- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
CTGO
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Contango Silver & Gold Inc. · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
26.80 CAD
24.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 29.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.3%, after a 12.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
26.80 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
24.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 17 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 18.91% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
24.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.7%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 18.91%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 29.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.3%, after a 12.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.7% over four weeks, -13.3% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 55%
Model confidence 51%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength60/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality56/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Momentum56/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Growth56/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -6.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -7.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 3686.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -6.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -6.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
4 positive · 23 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher4 of 1611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-17.3%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+24.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains1
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol10.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split4/11Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew14.7% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Gold
4-week rank40 / 66
Group average14.3%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD7.6%positive activity pressure
RS37.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape32/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis7/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 18.91%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 18.91% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors56/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 48 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
BlackRock (CTGO holder) discloses 2.1M Contango Silver and Gold shares, a 6.9% stake Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.80 CAD | 24.3% | - | 26.71 CAD | 0.00 | - | 74.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 21.56 CAD | -3.3% | - | 26.70 CAD | 0.00 | - | 47.7K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 22.30 CAD | -0.7% | - | 27.04 CAD | 0.00 | - | 69.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 22.45 CAD | -5.6% | - | 27.38 CAD | 0.00 | - | 44.7K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 23.78 CAD | -5.3% | - | 27.76 CAD | 0.00 | - | 43.1K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 25.10 CAD | 12.8% | - | 28.09 CAD | 0.00 | - | 6.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 22.25 CAD | -4.9% | - | 28.37 CAD | 0.00 | - | 17.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 23.40 CAD | 1.8% | - | 28.98 CAD | 0.00 | - | 5.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 22.98 CAD | 0.0% | - | 29.60 CAD | 0.00 | - | 9.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 22.98 CAD | -17.3% | - | 30.42 CAD | 0.00 | - | 14.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 27.79 CAD | -3.2% | - | 31.49 CAD | 0.00 | - | 28.7K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 28.70 CAD | -7.1% | - | 32.10 CAD | 0.00 | - | 38.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 30.90 CAD | -17.0% | - | 32.78 CAD | 0.00 | - | 72.8K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 37.22 CAD | 19.9% | - | 33.26 CAD | 0.00 | - | 54.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.