- The trend backdrop is active with a 32-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
MAR
MEX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Marriott International, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging
Latest close
6,143 MXN
-5.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 69.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.5%, after a -5.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 46/100.
Setup score
60
out of 100
Latest Close
6,143 MXN
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-5.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
75.0%
39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
6.0x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 28.46% based on similar historical setup states.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.5%.
Indicator stack
86/16
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 28.46%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
46/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 69.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.5%, after a -5.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 6.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8612-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.86Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.5% over four weeks, 0.9% over 12 weeks, and 26.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 32 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak32 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-268.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-59.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment46/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
0 positive · 16 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-5.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks9
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/11Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank78 / 97
Group average-0.1%
Trend breadth28.9%
Trend28.9%active weekly trend signals
MD59.8%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Lodging
4-week rank5 / 5
Group average0.2%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis84/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.86; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 28.46%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 28.46% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment46/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From Marriott’s Q2 Earnings Call Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6,143 MXN | -5.5% | 6,184 MXN | 4,888 MXN | -0.70 | 5.32 | 217 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6,503 MXN | 0.0% | 6,170 MXN | 4,871 MXN | -0.50 | 11.70 | 0 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6,503 MXN | 0.0% | 6,143 MXN | 4,852 MXN | -0.29 | 12.88 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6,503 MXN | 0.0% | 6,115 MXN | 4,830 MXN | 0.05 | 12.64 | 0 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6,503 MXN | 0.8% | 6,084 MXN | 4,808 MXN | 0.42 | 13.02 | 19 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6,451 MXN | -1.7% | 6,034 MXN | 4,786 MXN | 0.63 | 11.36 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6,560 MXN | -2.4% | 5,986 MXN | 4,765 MXN | 0.65 | 13.09 | 85 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6,720 MXN | 0.0% | 5,934 MXN | 4,743 MXN | 0.64 | 15.17 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6,720 MXN | 5.6% | 5,877 MXN | 4,720 MXN | 0.45 | 14.88 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6,363 MXN | -3.7% | 5,819 MXN | 4,697 MXN | 0.19 | 11.94 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 6,605 MXN | 2.2% | 5,774 MXN | 4,676 MXN | 0.13 | 12.17 | 148 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 6,460 MXN | 6.1% | 5,721 MXN | 4,654 MXN | 0.14 | 10.24 | 5 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6,087 MXN | 0.0% | 5,672 MXN | 4,632 MXN | 0.28 | 4.81 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 6,087 MXN | -6.7% | 5,633 MXN | 4,614 MXN | 0.51 | 2.24 | 215 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.