- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
GAIA
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gaia Inc · Communication Services · Entertainment
Latest close
1.87 USD
-7.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -34.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.9%, after a -10.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 25/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.
Setup score
16
out of 100
Latest Close
1.87 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-7.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-10.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-42.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-7.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -10.1%.
Indicator stack
13/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Mixed
25/100 conviction; expected move 51.2%.
News sentiment
48/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
11d
Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -34.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.9%, after a -10.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0712-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -10.1% over four weeks, -42.6% over 12 weeks, and -54.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1762.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-54.80Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 84%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength60/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality53/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Momentum54/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Growth54/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 19.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 84.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -5.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 12.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -4.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 7.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -27.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
GAIA shows mixed options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 51.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction25/100
Expected move51.2%
Put/call volume
Insider activity15 / 5
15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment48/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
3 positive · 11 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move51.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-70.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-21.5%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-7.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses2
Sharp losses13
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD49.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Entertainment
4-week rank38 / 46
Group average-1.3%
Trend breadth52.2%
Trend52.2%active weekly trend signals
MD56.5%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape18/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Factors54/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 71; Buyback Yield rank 72 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options40/100GAIA shows mixed options pressure with a 25/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 51.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 51.2% Sentiment48/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
Gaia Inc. (GAIA) Gains 3.88% as Stock Tests Resistance Level - Ease of Movement Insiders15 / 515 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.87 USD | -7.9% | 2.84 USD | 3.93 USD | -0.65 | -54.80 | 683.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.03 USD | -5.1% | 2.90 USD | 3.93 USD | -0.34 | -52.39 | 265.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.14 USD | 2.9% | 2.96 USD | 3.93 USD | -0.07 | -52.55 | 497.2K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.08 USD | 0.0% | 3.02 USD | 3.94 USD | 0.05 | -53.65 | 961.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.08 USD | -12.6% | 3.07 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.03 | -53.91 | 3.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.38 USD | -4.8% | 3.13 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.20 | -50.43 | 409.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.50 USD | 6.4% | 3.18 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.28 | -47.48 | 583.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.35 USD | 0.4% | 3.23 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.45 | -50.38 | 414.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.34 USD | -6.0% | 3.30 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.29 | -53.61 | 308.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.49 USD | 5.1% | 3.38 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.03 | -50.16 | 413.5K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.37 USD | -7.4% | 3.49 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.03 | -52.67 | 494.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.56 USD | -21.5% | 3.60 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.06 | -49.72 | 659.5K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 3.26 USD | 6.9% | 3.72 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.26 | -33.73 | 234.1K | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 3.05 USD | 4.5% | 3.80 USD | 3.94 USD | -0.61 | -38.08 | 241.4K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.